Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
April - June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, northern and western Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern Somalia, Uganda, northern and eastern Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions are expected over part of south-eastern Sudan, central to southern South Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, part of central to eastern Uganda, central to western Kenya, and most parts of Somalia.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the region including Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern Eritrea, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, central to southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over northern parts of Somalia, isolated areas in central-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, and southern Eritrea.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual are conditions likely over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over the central part of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over north-western parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over the rest of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over central and northern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over areas in north-western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are likely over part of the northern areas of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over northern and central areas of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over the …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Tanzania, Kenya, eastern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, southern and north-eastern Somalia, much of Ethiopia, Djibouti, north-western South Sudan, and northern Sudan.
- Usual conditions are expected over western …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over western Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, much of
Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Sudan. - Usual conditions are expected over few areas in north-eastern South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and coastal Kenya. …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over small locations in the central parts of the country
- Drier than average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over the rest of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over southwestern South Sudan, much of southeastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Somalia, western parts of Eritrea, and coastal Sudan. Stakeholders are advised to take the necessary …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures likely to be recorded all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Normal temperature conditions likely to be experienced over south eastern parts of the country
- Warmer than usual temperatures likely to be recorded over the rest of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over much of eastern part of the country
- Average conditions likely to be recorded over southern, central, and northern parts extending to north western parts of …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, and much of Uganda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Somalia.