Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
December 2025 - February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central Kenya and Ethiopia, northern Eritrea and coastal areas of Sudan.
- Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over parts of Burundi, and western to southern areas of Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over central to southern Kenya, southern Uganda, eastern and western Rwanda, most parts of Burundi, central to northern, and southern Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Usual conditions are expected over the northern and part of central areas of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over the southern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual are conditions likely over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over the central part of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Tanzania, Kenya, eastern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, southern and north-eastern Somalia, much of Ethiopia, Djibouti, north-western South Sudan, and northern Sudan.
- Usual conditions are expected over western …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over western Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, much of
Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Sudan. - Usual conditions are expected over few areas in north-eastern South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and coastal Kenya. …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are likely over part of the northern areas of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over northern and central areas of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over the …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over areas in north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over central and northern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over small locations in the central parts of the country
- Drier than average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over the rest of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over much of eastern part of the country
- Average conditions likely to be recorded over southern, central, and northern parts extending to north western parts of …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures likely to be recorded all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Normal temperature conditions likely to be experienced over south eastern parts of the country
- Warmer than usual temperatures likely to be recorded over the rest of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over southwestern South Sudan, much of southeastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Somalia, western parts of Eritrea, and coastal Sudan. Stakeholders are advised to take the necessary …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over parts of Warrap and eastern regions of Western Bahr el Ghazal states.