Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, and much of Uganda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Somalia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country except over north-western parts where cooler than normal conditions are expected.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over part of eastern Sudan, Djibouti, and around Mt. Elgon areas of Kenya-Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Uganda, western Kenya, and most parts of the northern sector.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in northern Somalia.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country with pockets of drier than usual conditions over the northern areas.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over areas in central-northern regions of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country with isolated area in the north-eastern part of the country expected to record near normal rainfall.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of northern and isolated areas in the southern coastal parts of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry during this season
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over northern and southern coastal parts of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, cross-border areas of Ethiopia-Sudan-South Sudan, and coastal Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.