Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over western Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, much of
Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Sudan. - Usual conditions are expected over few areas in north-eastern South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and coastal Kenya. …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are likely over part of the northern areas of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over northern and central areas of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over the …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over areas in north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Tanzania, Kenya, eastern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, southern and north-eastern Somalia, much of Ethiopia, Djibouti, north-western South Sudan, and northern Sudan.
- Usual conditions are expected over western …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over central and northern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over small locations in the central parts of the country
- Drier than average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over the rest of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over much of eastern part of the country
- Average conditions likely to be recorded over southern, central, and northern parts extending to north western parts of …
Temperature forecast
- Normal temperature conditions likely to be experienced over south eastern parts of the country
- Warmer than usual temperatures likely to be recorded over the rest of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures likely to be recorded all over the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over southwestern South Sudan, much of southeastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Somalia, western parts of Eritrea, and coastal Sudan. Stakeholders are advised to take the necessary …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over parts of Warrap and eastern regions of Western Bahr el Ghazal states.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, and much of Uganda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Somalia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country except over north-western parts where cooler than normal conditions are expected.