Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
June - August 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western South Sudan.
- Cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over isolated areas in northern Somalia, northern Ethiopia, parts of southern Djibouti, a few regions in western and eastern Sudan and cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan-Ethiopia.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal Somalia and Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of northern and isolated areas in the southern coastal parts of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry during this season
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
- Highest probabilities are indicated over northern Sudan, parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern parts of Somalia, central to south-eastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya and Tanzania, Burundi, a few areas in Uganda, and northern Sudan.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern and some central parts of the country
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over central and northern parts of the country
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the …
Temperature forecast
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over central to western parts of the country
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over south-eastern and north-eastern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the northern Greater Horn of Africa
- Normal to depressed rainfall expected over coastal Kenya, extending to adjacent areas of Somalia and parts of south-eastern Ethiopia.
- Tanzania, …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected all over the country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over northern parts of the country
- Drier than normal conditions expected over southern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over north-western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Seasonal Rainfall forecast July - September
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, north-western Somalia, and western Kenya.
- Usual conditions are likely over coastal Kenya and southern coastal …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over the southern coastal areas.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country with the highest probabilities over the eastern parts.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over the northern areas of the country.