Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature

- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.

- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over south-eastern parts of the country.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Uganda, western Kenya, and most parts of the northern sector.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in northern Somalia.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country with pockets of drier than usual conditions over the northern areas.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over areas in central-northern regions of the country.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over part of eastern Sudan, Djibouti, and around Mt. Elgon areas of Kenya-Uganda.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
- Highest probabilities are indicated over northern Sudan, parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and Tanzania.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over northern and southern coastal parts of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, cross-border areas of Ethiopia-Sudan-South Sudan, and coastal Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, …

Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country with isolated area in the north-eastern part of the country expected to record near normal rainfall.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of northern and isolated areas in the southern coastal parts of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry during this season

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern and some central parts of the country
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over central and northern parts of the country
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the …

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern parts of Somalia, central to south-eastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya and Tanzania, Burundi, a few areas in Uganda, and northern Sudan.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over …