Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over northern parts of the country
- Drier than normal conditions expected over southern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern parts of Somalia, central to south-eastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya and Tanzania, Burundi, a few areas in Uganda, and northern Sudan.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the northern Greater Horn of Africa
- Normal to depressed rainfall expected over coastal Kenya, extending to adjacent areas of Somalia and parts of south-eastern Ethiopia.
- Tanzania, …
Temperature forecast
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over central to western parts of the country
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over south-eastern and north-eastern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern and some central parts of the country
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over central and northern parts of the country
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over the southern coastal areas.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over the northern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over north-western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Seasonal Rainfall forecast July - September
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, north-western Somalia, and western Kenya.
- Usual conditions are likely over coastal Kenya and southern coastal …
Temperature forecast
Seasonal Temperature forecast July - September
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over northern Sudan, north-western Uganda, Rwanda, much of Tanzania, Kenya, South Sudan, Somalia, and Ethiopia.
- Usual conditions are likely over parts of western Tanzania, …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country with the highest probabilities over the eastern parts.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions over the eastern and northwestern parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions over the western and southern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are likely to be recorded all over the country