Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
March - May 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Normal to drier than normal conditions are expected over western and northern Kenya, western and eastern Uganda, south-western to central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, western South Sudan and most parts of Somalia.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, and much of Uganda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Somalia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country except over north-western parts where cooler than normal conditions are expected.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Uganda, western Kenya, and most parts of the northern sector.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in northern Somalia.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country with pockets of drier than usual conditions over the northern areas.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over areas in central-northern regions of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over part of eastern Sudan, Djibouti, and around Mt. Elgon areas of Kenya-Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over northern and southern coastal parts of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, cross-border areas of Ethiopia-Sudan-South Sudan, and coastal Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country with isolated area in the north-eastern part of the country expected to record near normal rainfall.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of northern and isolated areas in the southern coastal parts of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry during this season