Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over northern parts of Sudan, southwestern and northeastern South Sudan, eastern and coastal Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Rwanda, Burundi, and much of Tanzania.
- Cooler than usual temperatures are expected over …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall Forecast Update July to September
- A wetter than usual season continues to be expected through July, August and September, with much of Sudan expecting higher than usual rain.
- A drier than usual season is …
Temperature forecast
- Areas in eastern and South Sudan - Sudan border are likely to experience cooler than usual temperatures
- Usual and warmer than usual temperatures are expected over the western, southwestern, central , and northeastern parts of …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions over the central and northern parts of the country
- High likelihood of drier than usual conditions over parts of the southern region
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to above normal conditions expected over areas in the northern regions of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal temperatures are expected over areas in south-eastern South Sudan and north-eastern Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over central to south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan and Ethiopia-Sudan-Eritrea.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over a small area in western South Sudan.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over a small area in south-western South Sudan.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over southern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, Djibouti, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, western Uganda and South Sudan, and north-western Tanzania.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western and south-western Kenya, eastern Uganda, …