Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
March - May 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Normal to drier than normal conditions are expected over western and northern Kenya, western and eastern Uganda, south-western to central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, western South Sudan and most parts of Somalia.
Seasonal forecasts
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Showing 439 results
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over northern and southern coastal parts of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, cross-border areas of Ethiopia-Sudan-South Sudan, and coastal Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over central to western parts of the country
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over south-eastern and north-eastern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over northern parts of the country
- Drier than normal conditions expected over southern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the northern Greater Horn of Africa
- Normal to depressed rainfall expected over coastal Kenya, extending to adjacent areas of Somalia and parts of south-eastern Ethiopia.
- Tanzania, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern parts of Somalia, central to south-eastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya and Tanzania, Burundi, a few areas in Uganda, and northern Sudan.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern and some central parts of the country
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over central and northern parts of the country
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over north-western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country with the highest probabilities over the eastern parts.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over the southern coastal areas.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Seasonal Rainfall forecast July - September
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, north-western Somalia, and western Kenya.
- Usual conditions are likely over coastal Kenya and southern coastal …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over the northern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
Seasonal Temperature forecast July - September
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over northern Sudan, north-western Uganda, Rwanda, much of Tanzania, Kenya, South Sudan, Somalia, and Ethiopia.
- Usual conditions are likely over parts of western Tanzania, …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall Forecast Update July to September
- A wetter than usual season continues to be expected through July, August and September, with much of Sudan expecting higher than usual rain.
- A drier than usual season is …