Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions over the eastern and northwestern parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions over the western and southern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to above normal conditions expected over areas in the northern regions of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over central to western parts of the country.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the eastern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over a small area in western South Sudan.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over southern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over a small area in south-western South Sudan.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, Djibouti, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, western Uganda and South Sudan, and north-western Tanzania.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western and south-western Kenya, eastern Uganda, …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and isolated areas in western Uganda and South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, eastern Uganda, much of …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Somalia and isolated areas in Ethiopia and South Sudan.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal temperatures are expected over areas in south-eastern South Sudan and north-eastern Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperatures are expected over the cross-border areas of South Sudan-Uganda-Kenya.