Our seasonal forecasts

Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.

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June - August 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania. 
  • Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western South Sudan. 
  • Cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over isolated areas in northern Somalia, northern Ethiopia, parts of southern Djibouti, a few regions in western and eastern Sudan and cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan-Ethiopia. 
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region. 
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal Somalia and Kenya. 

Seasonal forecasts

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Probability of 400 mm
Probability of 400 mm
  • High chances of exceeding 400 mm over parts of western Kenya, nrthern Uganda, central to western Ethiopia, South Sudan, and southern Sudan.
JJAS - 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
MAM - 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over the southern parts of the country.
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over localized areas over the north western parts of the country.
MAM - 2024 Read More
Onset anomalies
Onset anomalies
  • Normal onset  forecast over most parts of the region.
  • Late onset indicated in localized areas of southern and northern Ethiopia and western Kenya​.
MAM - 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
MAM - 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the region, specifically over Kenya, Somalia, southern Ethiopia, South Sudan, Uganda, Burundi, Rwanda, and north-western Tanzania. ​
  • Highest probabilities of wetter than usual conditions  indicated in …
MAM - 2024 Read More
Probability Onset
Probability Onset
  • Normal onset  forecast over most parts of the region.
  • Delayed onset indicated in localized areas of southern and northern Ethiopia and Kenya​.
MAM - 2024 Read More
Probability of 400 mm
Probability of 400 mm
  • High chances of rainfall exceeding 400 mm over south-western Ethiopia, the Lake Victoria Basin, and western Rwanda and Burundi.
MAM - 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than average temperatures are expected all over the region​.
  • Highest probabilities are indicated over Sudan, northern South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia and southern areas of Tanzania​.
MAM - 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over northern and southern coastal parts of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, cross-border areas of Ethiopia-Sudan-South Sudan, and coastal Kenya.
  • Drier than normal conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, …
JJAS - 2023 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of northern and southern coastal areas of the country.
  • Average conditions expected over north-western areas of the country.
  • Central and areas in southern parts of the country are …
JJAS - 2023 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than average temperatures predicted over the whole region.
  • Highest probabilities over northern Sudan, parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and Tanzania.
JJAS - 2023 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country.
JJAS - 2023 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country.
JJAS - 2023 Read More