Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
March - May 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Normal to drier than normal conditions are expected over western and northern Kenya, western and eastern Uganda, south-western to central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, western South Sudan and most parts of Somalia.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions over the central and northern parts of the country
- High likelihood of drier than usual conditions over parts of the southern region
Temperature forecast
- Areas in eastern and South Sudan - Sudan border are likely to experience cooler than usual temperatures
- Usual and warmer than usual temperatures are expected over the western, southwestern, central , and northeastern parts of …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are likely to be recorded all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over northern parts of Sudan, southwestern and northeastern South Sudan, eastern and coastal Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Rwanda, Burundi, and much of Tanzania.
- Cooler than usual temperatures are expected over …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions over the eastern and northwestern parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions over the western and southern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Normal to drier than …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected throughout the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over central to south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan and Ethiopia-Sudan-Eritrea.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to above normal conditions expected over areas in the northern regions of the country.