Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over most parts of the region.
- Wetter-than-normal conditions expected over the eastern Horn, including Somalia, south-eastern and part of western Ethiopia, eastern to coastal Kenya and over few places in South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Rwanda and northern Burundi.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over much of South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda, Ethiopia, western Kenya, northern Tanzania, and Rwanda.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, Djibouti, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, western Uganda and South Sudan, and north-western Tanzania.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western and south-western Kenya, eastern Uganda, …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and isolated areas in western Uganda and South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, eastern Uganda, much of …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Somalia and isolated areas in Ethiopia and South Sudan.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier-than-Normal Conditions likely over Somalia, eastern to northern Kenya, mos parts of Ethiopia, Djibouti, coastal Eritrea, western South Sudan, western Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and northwestern Tanzania
- Wetter-than-Normal Conditions expected over most parts of Tanzania, …
Probability Onset
- High chances for normal to early onset over most parts of the region, while delayed onset is indicated over localized areas over parts of central Kenya, Uganda, southern Ethiopia and central Somalia.
Length of dry spells
- Longest dry spells between 8 and 10 days expected over central and southern Tanzania
- Shortest dry spells between 2 and 4 days expected over coastal Kenya and Somalia, and localized areas in south-western Ethiopa.
Length of wet spells
- The longest wet spells of between 6 and 10 days are expected over southern Ethiopia, Rwanda, Burundi, south-eastern and western Uganda, and south-western Ethiopia
- Shortest wet spells of between 1 and 4 days are expected …
Onset anomalies
- Delayed onset expected over central to western Kenya, Uganda, and parts of central Ethiopia
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal temperatures are expected over areas in south-eastern South Sudan and north-eastern Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperatures are expected over the cross-border areas of South Sudan-Uganda-Kenya.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.