Our seasonal forecasts

Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.

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March - May 2026

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
  • Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.  
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania. 
  • Normal to drier than normal conditions are expected over western and northern Kenya, western and eastern Uganda, south-western to central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, western South Sudan and most parts of Somalia. 

Seasonal forecasts

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Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region. 
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Somalia and isolated areas in Ethiopia and South Sudan. 
MAM - 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and isolated areas in western Uganda and South Sudan.  
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, eastern Uganda, much of …
MAM - 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
  • Drier than usual conditions are expected over a small area in western South Sudan.
MAM - 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, Djibouti, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, western Uganda and South Sudan, and north-western Tanzania. 
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over western and south-western Kenya, eastern Uganda, …
MAM - 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
MAM - 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over southern parts of the country.
MAM - 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
  • Drier than usual conditions are expected over a small area in south-western South Sudan.
MAM - 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Drier than usual conditions are expected over central to western parts of the country.
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over the eastern parts of the country.
MAM - 2025 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
  • Normal temperatures are expected over areas in south-eastern South Sudan and north-eastern Uganda. 
MAM - 2025 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
MAM - 2025 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
MAM - 2025 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.  
  • Normal to cooler than normal temperatures are expected over the cross-border areas of South Sudan-Uganda-Kenya. 
MAM - 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast

  • Wetter than normal conditions expected over much of the northern GHA covering much of Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Ethiopia, south Sudan, Uganda, western Kenya, costal parts of Kenya and Somalia.
  • Drier than normal conditions expected over …
JJAS - 2024 Read More
Onset anomalies
Onset anomalies
  • Near normal onset expected over most parts of the region with late onset expected over north-eastern Ethiopia and few places over South Sudan.
JJAS - 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than average temperatures are expected over most parts of the region.
  • Higher probabilities of above-average temperatures are indicated over northern Sudan, southern and coastal parts of the region.
  • Normal temperatures are expected over …
JJAS - 2024 Read More