Our seasonal forecasts

Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.

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October - December 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
  • Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea. 
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda. 
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania. 

Seasonal forecasts

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Onset dates
Onset dates
  • The season is expected to start 1-2 weeks early in northern Tanzania, northern Uganda, western and eastern Kenya, most of South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, and southern Somalia.
  • On the other hand, a late onset is …
MAM - 2021 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions likely over eastern and south eastern parts of the country.
  • Usual conditions likely over most parts of the country.
  • Drier than usual conditions likely over small area in the western parts …
MAM - 2021 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions likely over few areas in north-eastern parts of the country.
  • Usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
  • Drier than usual conditions likely over small area in north-western part of …
MAM - 2021 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions likely over eastern, north-eastern, and north-western parts of the country.
  • Usual conditions likely over western and northern parts of the country.
  • Cooler than usual conditions expected over southern and south-eastern parts …
MAM - 2021 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)

Headline: A wetter than usual season is expected over most farming areas in the central and southern parts of the region. While a drier than usual season is expected over north-eastern Ethiopia. The season is …

MAM - 2021 Read More
Onset anomalies
Onset anomalies

Regarding the beginning of the season, earlier than usual start of rains is expected across most of the region, especially over northern Tanzania, northern Uganda, western and north-eastern Kenya, south-western Ethiopia, and southern Somalia. A …

MAM - 2020 Read More
Onset dates
Onset dates

Regarding the beginning of the season, earlier than usual start of rains is expected across most of the region, especially over northern Tanzania, northern Uganda, western and north-eastern Kenya, south-western Ethiopia, and southern Somalia. A …

MAM - 2020 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania. 
  • Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western …
JJA - 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
  • Drier than usual conditions are expected over parts of north-western and north-eastern areas of South Sudan.
JJA - 2025 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country except over north-western parts where cooler than normal conditions are expected.
JJA - 2025 Read More