Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature

- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.

- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over parts of north-western and north-eastern areas of South Sudan.

Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal …

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country except over north-western parts where cooler than normal conditions are expected.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over south-eastern parts of the country.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western …

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole region

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Uganda, South Sudan, Sudan, central to northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, western and coastal Kenya, and southern coastal Somalia
- Drier than usual conditions expected over corss border …

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over few areas in north-western and southern coastal parts of the country
- The rest of the country is usually dry during this season

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country

Temperature anomalies
All parts of the region showed warmer than the average maximum temperature. Mean temperature difference exceeding 2° was observed in parts of central and northern Sudan, in central Eritrea, part of northern Ethiopia, northeastern Somalia, …

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-eastern parts of the country

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the northern Greater Horn of Africa.
- Normal to depressed rainfall conditions expected over coastal Kenya extending to adjacent areas of Somalia.
- Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, much of …

Temperature forecast
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the country, with highest probabilities over the eastern parts.