Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
June - August 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western South Sudan.
- Cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over isolated areas in northern Somalia, northern Ethiopia, parts of southern Djibouti, a few regions in western and eastern Sudan and cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan-Ethiopia.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal Somalia and Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature anomalies
All parts of the region showed warmer than the average maximum temperature. Mean temperature difference exceeding 2° was observed in parts of central and northern Sudan, in central Eritrea, part of northern Ethiopia, northeastern Somalia, …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the northern Greater Horn of Africa.
- Normal to depressed rainfall conditions expected over coastal Kenya extending to adjacent areas of Somalia.
- Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, much of …
Rainfall forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the southern parts f the country.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over the central parts of the country.
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the northern areas of …
Rainfall forecast
- Above normal rainfall expected over few areas in the north-western parts.
- Normal to below normal rainfall expected over the southern areas.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern parts of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, and central to eastern Tanzania.
- Normal temperatures are likely to be recorded over western and southern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, few …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country except the central and northern areas where normal conditions are expected.
Temperature forecast
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the country, with highest probabilities over the eastern parts.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over the whole country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over southern coastal and localized area in northwestern parts of the country
- Average to drier than usual conditions likely over southern parts bordering Kenya
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, southern and eastern Uganda, eastern and central South Sudan, south western and northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Sudan
- Average conditions likely over coastal Kenya extending to Somalia
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over eastern, central and western parts of the country
- Average conditions likely over southern and north western areas of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over most parts of the country
- Average conditions expected over eastern and south eastern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over much of Kenya, southern and coastal Tanzania, Somalia, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, Sudan, and western South Sudan
- Average conditions likely over eastern South Sudan, western Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Areas in the eastern and north-western parts of the country have high chances for wetter than average rainfall, while central and western border areas having high probabilities for average rainfall.
Temperature forecast
Most parts of the country are likely to record warmer than average temperatures with south-eastern regions likely to record average to cooler than average temperature conditions.