Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
April - June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, northern and western Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern Somalia, Uganda, northern and eastern Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions are expected over part of south-eastern Sudan, central to southern South Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, part of central to eastern Uganda, central to western Kenya, and most parts of Somalia.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the region including Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern Eritrea, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, central to southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over northern parts of Somalia, isolated areas in central-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, and southern Eritrea.
Seasonal forecasts
Filter by Product Type
Filter by Region
Filter by Season
Filter by Year
Showing 445 results
Probability of 300 mm
- High probabilities (> 50%) of receiving more than 300 mm of rainfall during March-May 2021 over much of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, western Kenya, Uganda, south-western South Sudan, and south-western Ethiopia.
Onset dates
- The season is expected to start 1-2 weeks early in northern Tanzania, northern Uganda, western and eastern Kenya, most of South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, and southern Somalia.
- On the other hand, a late onset is …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over eastern and south eastern parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions likely over small area in the western parts …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over eastern, north-eastern, and north-western parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over western and northern parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions expected over southern and south-eastern parts …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over few areas in north-eastern parts of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions likely over small area in north-western part of …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Headline: A wetter than usual season is expected over most farming areas in the central and southern parts of the region. While a drier than usual season is expected over north-eastern Ethiopia. The season is …
Onset anomalies
- The season is expected to start 1-2 weeks early in northern Tanzania, northern Uganda, western and eastern Kenya, most of South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, and southern Somalia.
- A late onset is expected over north-eastern Ethiopia …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over central and northern parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over the southern parts of the country.
Length of wet spells
- Long continuous wet days (10 - 15 days) in South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, Uganda, Burundi, Rwanda, and parts of Tanzania.
- Short wet spells over eastern Kenya, north-eastern Ethiopia, and parts of north-eastern Somalia.
