Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
December 2025 - February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central Kenya and Ethiopia, northern Eritrea and coastal areas of Sudan.
- Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over parts of Burundi, and western to southern areas of Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over central to southern Kenya, southern Uganda, eastern and western Rwanda, most parts of Burundi, central to northern, and southern Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Onset anomalies
Regarding the beginning of the season, earlier than usual start of rains is expected across most of the region, especially over northern Tanzania, northern Uganda, western and north-eastern Kenya, south-western Ethiopia, and southern Somalia. A …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country except over north-western parts where cooler than normal conditions are expected.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over parts of north-western and north-eastern areas of South Sudan.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole region
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-eastern parts of the country
Temperature anomalies
All parts of the region showed warmer than the average maximum temperature. Mean temperature difference exceeding 2° was observed in parts of central and northern Sudan, in central Eritrea, part of northern Ethiopia, northeastern Somalia, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over few areas in north-western and southern coastal parts of the country
- The rest of the country is usually dry during this season
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Uganda, South Sudan, Sudan, central to northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, western and coastal Kenya, and southern coastal Somalia
- Drier than usual conditions expected over corss border …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country except the central and northern areas where normal conditions are expected.