Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern parts of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, and central to eastern Tanzania.
- Normal temperatures are likely to be recorded over western and southern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, few …
Rainfall forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the southern parts f the country.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over the central parts of the country.
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the northern areas of …
Rainfall forecast
- Above normal rainfall expected over few areas in the north-western parts.
- Normal to below normal rainfall expected over the southern areas.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country except the central and northern areas where normal conditions are expected.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over southern coastal and localized area in northwestern parts of the country
- Average to drier than usual conditions likely over southern parts bordering Kenya
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over much of Kenya, southern and coastal Tanzania, Somalia, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, Sudan, and western South Sudan
- Average conditions likely over eastern South Sudan, western Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over most parts of the country
- Average conditions expected over eastern and south eastern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, southern and eastern Uganda, eastern and central South Sudan, south western and northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Sudan
- Average conditions likely over coastal Kenya extending to Somalia
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over the whole country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over eastern, central and western parts of the country
- Average conditions likely over southern and north western areas of the country
Temperature forecast
Warmer than average seasonal temperatures are likely to be recorded all over the country with the highest probabilities over the southern areas.
Temperature forecast
Most parts of the country are likely to record warmer than average temperatures with south-eastern regions likely to record average to cooler than average temperature conditions.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Average to depressed rainfall is likely to be recorded over the southern parts of the country. Central and much of the northern parts are likely to record average rainfall conditions.
Northern coastal regions have high …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Areas in the eastern and north-western parts of the country have high chances for wetter than average rainfall, while central and western border areas having high probabilities for average rainfall.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.