Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature

- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.

- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over south-eastern parts of the country.

Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal …

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Uganda, South Sudan, Sudan, central to northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, western and coastal Kenya, and southern coastal Somalia
- Drier than usual conditions expected over corss border …

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over few areas in north-western and southern coastal parts of the country
- The rest of the country is usually dry during this season

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole region

Temperature anomalies
All parts of the region showed warmer than the average maximum temperature. Mean temperature difference exceeding 2° was observed in parts of central and northern Sudan, in central Eritrea, part of northern Ethiopia, northeastern Somalia, …

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-eastern parts of the country

Rainfall forecast
- Above normal rainfall expected over few areas in the north-western parts.
- Normal to below normal rainfall expected over the southern areas.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country except the central and northern areas where normal conditions are expected.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern parts of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, and central to eastern Tanzania.
- Normal temperatures are likely to be recorded over western and southern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, few …

Temperature forecast
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the country, with highest probabilities over the eastern parts.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the northern Greater Horn of Africa.
- Normal to depressed rainfall conditions expected over coastal Kenya extending to adjacent areas of Somalia.
- Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, much of …