Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the southern parts f the country.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over the central parts of the country.
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the northern areas of …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over the whole country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, southern and eastern Uganda, eastern and central South Sudan, south western and northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Sudan
- Average conditions likely over coastal Kenya extending to Somalia
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over eastern, central and western parts of the country
- Average conditions likely over southern and north western areas of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over much of Kenya, southern and coastal Tanzania, Somalia, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, Sudan, and western South Sudan
- Average conditions likely over eastern South Sudan, western Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over southern coastal and localized area in northwestern parts of the country
- Average to drier than usual conditions likely over southern parts bordering Kenya
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over most parts of the country
- Average conditions expected over eastern and south eastern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Areas in the eastern and north-western parts of the country have high chances for wetter than average rainfall, while central and western border areas having high probabilities for average rainfall.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Average to depressed rainfall is likely to be recorded over the southern parts of the country. Central and much of the northern parts are likely to record average rainfall conditions.
Northern coastal regions have high …
Temperature forecast
Warmer than average seasonal temperatures are likely to be recorded all over the country with the highest probabilities over the southern areas.
Temperature forecast
Most parts of the country are likely to record warmer than average temperatures with south-eastern regions likely to record average to cooler than average temperature conditions.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole region with enhanced probabilities over the northern, eastern and southern areas.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over Ethiopia, central to northern Kenya, central to western Uganda, part of southern South Sudan, southern Eritrea, Djibouti, most parts of Somalia, Rwanda, Burundi and few places in Tanzania.
- Wetter …