Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
April - June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, northern and western Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern Somalia, Uganda, northern and eastern Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions are expected over part of south-eastern Sudan, central to southern South Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, part of central to eastern Uganda, central to western Kenya, and most parts of Somalia.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the region including Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern Eritrea, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, central to southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over northern parts of Somalia, isolated areas in central-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, and southern Eritrea.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over few areas in north-western and southern coastal parts of the country
- The rest of the country is usually dry during this season
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-eastern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over southern parts of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, and central to eastern Tanzania.
- Normal temperatures are likely to be recorded over western and southern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, few …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the northern Greater Horn of Africa.
- Normal to depressed rainfall conditions expected over coastal Kenya extending to adjacent areas of Somalia.
- Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, much of …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country except the central and northern areas where normal conditions are expected.
Rainfall forecast
- Above normal rainfall expected over few areas in the north-western parts.
- Normal to below normal rainfall expected over the southern areas.
Rainfall forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the southern parts f the country.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over the central parts of the country.
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the northern areas of …
Temperature forecast
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the country, with highest probabilities over the eastern parts.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over most parts of the country
- Average conditions expected over eastern and south eastern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over southern coastal and localized area in northwestern parts of the country
- Average to drier than usual conditions likely over southern parts bordering Kenya
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, southern and eastern Uganda, eastern and central South Sudan, south western and northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Sudan
- Average conditions likely over coastal Kenya extending to Somalia
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over the whole country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over much of Kenya, southern and coastal Tanzania, Somalia, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, Sudan, and western South Sudan
- Average conditions likely over eastern South Sudan, western Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over eastern, central and western parts of the country
- Average conditions likely over southern and north western areas of the country