Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole region with enhanced probabilities over the northern, eastern and southern areas.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over Ethiopia, central to northern Kenya, central to western Uganda, part of southern South Sudan, southern Eritrea, Djibouti, most parts of Somalia, Rwanda, Burundi and few places in Tanzania.
- Wetter …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions eexpected over central and north-eastern areas of Ethiopia, most parts of Kenya, south-eastern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and north-western and coastal Tanzania.
- Normal to wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region, with the highest probabilities indicated over Sudan, eastern areas, and south-western parts of the region.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded expected over parts …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the western, northeastern and small areas in eastern and north-eastern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the equatorial and northern sectors of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of western Ethiopia, western to north-western South Sudan, central Uganda, south-eastern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
- The highest probabilities are indicated over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Ethiopia and coastal parts of Somalia, Kenya and Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over isolated areas in the country
- Wetter than average conditions expected over isolated area in the northern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions predicted over southern Ethiopia, Uganda, western parts of Rwanda, Burundi, north-western Tanzania, and parts of southern Somalia.
- Wetter than usual rainfall conditions expected over parts of northern South Sudan, Ethiopia, and …