Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over most parts of the region.
- Wetter-than-normal conditions expected over the eastern Horn, including Somalia, south-eastern and part of western Ethiopia, eastern to coastal Kenya and over few places in South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Rwanda and northern Burundi.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over much of South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda, Ethiopia, western Kenya, northern Tanzania, and Rwanda.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
Press Release: http://bit.ly/2S5mu3U
Onset dates
Regarding the beginning of the season, earlier than usual start of rains is expected across most of the region, especially over northern Tanzania, northern Uganda, western and north-eastern Kenya, south-western Ethiopia, and southern Somalia. A …
Onset anomalies
Regarding the beginning of the season, earlier than usual start of rains is expected across most of the region, especially over northern Tanzania, northern Uganda, western and north-eastern Kenya, south-western Ethiopia, and southern Somalia. A …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the region with the highest probabilities indicated over northern Sudan and parts of Ethiopia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole country with the highest temperatures over eastern areas.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Ethiopia, north-western Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda, and western Kenya. The highest probabilities are indicated over Ethiopia.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region with the highest probabilities over Ethiopia and South Sudan.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Sudan, South Sudan, and Ethiopia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country except over north-western parts where cooler than normal conditions are expected.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over parts of north-western and north-eastern areas of South Sudan.