Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region, with the highest probabilities indicated over Sudan, eastern areas, and south-western parts of the region.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded expected over parts …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions eexpected over central and north-eastern areas of Ethiopia, most parts of Kenya, south-eastern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and north-western and coastal Tanzania.
- Normal to wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the western, northeastern and small areas in eastern and north-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
- The highest probabilities are indicated over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Ethiopia and coastal parts of Somalia, Kenya and Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the equatorial and northern sectors of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of western Ethiopia, western to north-western South Sudan, central Uganda, south-eastern …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over few areas in northern parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions expected over some areas in central and southern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected across the region with the highest probabilities over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Rwanda, Burundi, and eastern Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over isolated areas in the country
- Wetter than average conditions expected over isolated area in the northern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions predicted over southern Ethiopia, Uganda, western parts of Rwanda, Burundi, north-western Tanzania, and parts of southern Somalia.
- Wetter than usual rainfall conditions expected over parts of northern South Sudan, Ethiopia, and …