Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
April - June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, northern and western Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern Somalia, Uganda, northern and eastern Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions are expected over part of south-eastern Sudan, central to southern South Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, part of central to eastern Uganda, central to western Kenya, and most parts of Somalia.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the region including Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern Eritrea, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, central to southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over northern parts of Somalia, isolated areas in central-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, and southern Eritrea.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Average to depressed rainfall is likely to be recorded over the southern parts of the country. Central and much of the northern parts are likely to record average rainfall conditions.
Northern coastal regions have high …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Areas in the eastern and north-western parts of the country have high chances for wetter than average rainfall, while central and western border areas having high probabilities for average rainfall.
Temperature forecast
Warmer than average seasonal temperatures are likely to be recorded all over the country with the highest probabilities over the southern areas.
Temperature forecast
Most parts of the country are likely to record warmer than average temperatures with south-eastern regions likely to record average to cooler than average temperature conditions.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the region including Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern Eritrea, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, central to southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over few areas in northern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, northern and western Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern Somalia, Uganda, northern and eastern Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the northern and few isolated areas in the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over southern and north-western areas of the country.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over central to north-eastern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, northern Tanzania and southern South Sudan.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Cooler than usual conditions expected over central areas of Ethiopia and central Kenya.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over paers of southern to northern Ethiopia, Eritrea and coastal Sudan.