Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
March - May 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Normal to drier than normal conditions are expected over western and northern Kenya, western and eastern Uganda, south-western to central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, western South Sudan and most parts of Somalia.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Areas in the eastern and north-western parts of the country have high chances for wetter than average rainfall, while central and western border areas having high probabilities for average rainfall.
Temperature forecast
Warmer than average seasonal temperatures are likely to be recorded all over the country with the highest probabilities over the southern areas.
Temperature forecast
Most parts of the country are likely to record warmer than average temperatures with south-eastern regions likely to record average to cooler than average temperature conditions.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Average to depressed rainfall is likely to be recorded over the southern parts of the country. Central and much of the northern parts are likely to record average rainfall conditions.
Northern coastal regions have high …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, northern Tanzania and southern South Sudan.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Cooler than usual conditions expected over central areas of Ethiopia and central Kenya.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over paers of southern to northern Ethiopia, Eritrea and coastal Sudan.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over parts of southern and north-western areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of central to southern Tanzania, central Kenya, and north-eastern Ethiopia.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, southern Uganda, and south-western to western Kenya.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over Ethiopia, central to northern Kenya, central to western Uganda, part of southern South Sudan, southern Eritrea, Djibouti, most parts of Somalia, Rwanda, Burundi and few places in Tanzania.
- Wetter …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole region with enhanced probabilities over the northern, eastern and southern areas.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.