Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than norma lconditions expected over southern and part of north eastern areas of the country
- Average conditions expected over central and parts of northern areas of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over small areas of western Ethiopia and Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of central to southern Tanzania.
- Average conditions expected over areas of central Tanzania, eastern Kenya, and north-eastern Somalia.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-western Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions ex[pected over south western parts of the country
- Normal to drier than normal conditions expected over south eastern areas of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the region.
- Average conditions expected over small areas in western South Sudan and South-western Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over a few places in western and north-eastern Tanzania.
- Normal conditions expected over most parts of Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over areas in central Tanzania, Rwanda, and southern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Average temperatures expected over some areas in south-western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over the southern part of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry in DJF.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to south-western Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- The rest of the region is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Near average temperatures expected over southern parts of the country.