Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
December 2025 - February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central Kenya and Ethiopia, northern Eritrea and coastal areas of Sudan.
- Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over parts of Burundi, and western to southern areas of Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over central to southern Kenya, southern Uganda, eastern and western Rwanda, most parts of Burundi, central to northern, and southern Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions predicted over southern Ethiopia, Uganda, western parts of Rwanda, Burundi, north-western Tanzania, and parts of southern Somalia.
- Wetter than usual rainfall conditions expected over parts of northern South Sudan, Ethiopia, and …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over few areas in northern parts of the country
- Drier than usual conditions expected over some areas in central and southern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over isolated areas in the country
- Wetter than average conditions expected over isolated area in the northern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of central to southern Tanzania.
- Average conditions expected over areas of central Tanzania, eastern Kenya, and north-eastern Somalia.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-western Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions ex[pected over south western parts of the country
- Normal to drier than normal conditions expected over south eastern areas of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over small areas of western Ethiopia and Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than norma lconditions expected over southern and part of north eastern areas of the country
- Average conditions expected over central and parts of northern areas of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Average temperatures expected over some areas in south-western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over a few places in western and north-eastern Tanzania.
- Normal conditions expected over most parts of Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over areas in central Tanzania, Rwanda, and southern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the region.
- Average conditions expected over small areas in western South Sudan and South-western Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country.