Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
December 2025 - February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central Kenya and Ethiopia, northern Eritrea and coastal areas of Sudan.
- Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over parts of Burundi, and western to southern areas of Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over central to southern Kenya, southern Uganda, eastern and western Rwanda, most parts of Burundi, central to northern, and southern Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to south-western Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- The rest of the region is generally dry during this season.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over the southern part of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry in DJF.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures expected over southern South Sudan, north-western Uganda, and northern Ethiopia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Near average temperatures expected over southern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, Eritrea, much of Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Kenya, southern Uganda and Tanzania.
- Average temperatures expected over north-western and southern areas of Sudan, western South Sudan, northern …
Temperature forecast
- Average temperatures expected over the western parts of the country.
- Colder than usual conditions expected over the eastern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern South Sudan, and northern and south-western Uganda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over Kenya, southern Ethiopia, Somalia, Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, and southern parts of Uganda.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern areas of the country with pockets of average to below average conditions over south-eastern and western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over a small area in the southern part of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over a few areas in north-eastern Kenya and south-western Somalia.
- Near normal conditions expected over most of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Uganda, South Sudan, and central Kenya.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over south eastern parts of the country.
- Average conditions expected over the rest of the country.