Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
March - May 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Normal to drier than normal conditions are expected over western and northern Kenya, western and eastern Uganda, south-western to central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, western South Sudan and most parts of Somalia.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected across the region with the highest probabilities over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Rwanda, Burundi, and eastern Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions ex[pected over south western parts of the country
- Normal to drier than normal conditions expected over south eastern areas of the country
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than norma lconditions expected over southern and part of north eastern areas of the country
- Average conditions expected over central and parts of northern areas of the country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of central to southern Tanzania.
- Average conditions expected over areas of central Tanzania, eastern Kenya, and north-eastern Somalia.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-western Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over small areas of western Ethiopia and Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over a few places in western and north-eastern Tanzania.
- Normal conditions expected over most parts of Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over areas in central Tanzania, Rwanda, and southern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Average temperatures expected over some areas in south-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the region.
- Average conditions expected over small areas in western South Sudan and South-western Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Near average temperatures expected over southern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to south-western Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- The rest of the region is generally dry during this season.