Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
April - June 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperatures are expected over the cross-border areas of South Sudan-Uganda-Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and isolated areas in western Uganda and South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, eastern Uganda, much of South Sudan, southern Sudan, parts of central to south-western Ethiopia, Rwanda, parts of Burundi and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over eastern, north-eastern and isolated areas in western parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over western and northern parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over south …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over central, northern and part of southern areas of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over few areas in the central parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Kenya, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, northern areas of Somalia, north-eastern and north-western South Sudan, much of Sudan, western Uganda, Rwanda, northern parts of Burundi, and coastal Tanzania. …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the north-eastern parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over much of western Kenya, eastern Uganda, eastern South Sudan, areas in central and western Ethiopia, north-eastern Somalia, localized areas in Rwanda and Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Usual conditions are …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over few areas in southern and north-eastern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions over north-western and part of north-eastern areas …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over coastal, central, and north-western Kenya, western Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, western Uganda, northern parts of South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, northern Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Sudan.
- Usual temperature conditions likely …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over the northern parts of the country.
- Usual temperature conditions likely over the entire central parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over the southern parts of the …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over central and northern parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over the southern part of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than average conditions likely over much of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda; western, south-western and part of north-eastern Kenya, much of Somalia, Uganda, and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Usual conditions likely over the southern border of Tanzania, …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over central and south-eastern parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over south-western part of the country.
Temperature forecast
Temperature Forecast January - March 2021
- Warmer than average temperature conditions are expected over much of the northern parts of the region including Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Rwanda and Burundi.
- Below average …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall Forecast January - March 2021
Headlines: Drier than usual conditions are expected over Ethiopia, western Kenya, central Uganda, and north-western Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over central, eastern and south-western Ethiopia; western …
Temperature forecast
- Most parts of the region are expected to record warmer than usual temperatures, especially eastern Kenya, northeastern Ethiopia, northern Sudan, western Rwanda, and southwestern Uganda.
- Average temperatures are expected over southern, central, and western …