Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over a small area in the southern part of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over a few areas in north-eastern Kenya and south-western Somalia.
- Near normal conditions expected over most of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Uganda, South Sudan, and central Kenya.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal temperatures are expected over most parts of the region, especially over much of Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia Kenya, Rwanda, and Burundi.
- Normal to below normal temperatures expected over southern …
Rainfall forecast
- The updated forecast for March to May (MAM) 2022 season indicates expanded drier than normal conditions in much of the eastern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa covering Eritrea, much of Ethiopia, western South …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of the region.
- Usual conditions expected over western Uganda, south-western South Sudan, central Ethiopia, and south-eastern Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over a few areas in north-eastern …
Rainfall forecast
- Usual to wetter than usual conditions expected over the southern areas of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry during this period.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over a few areas in north-western and north-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual temperature conditions expected over areas in north western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over much of Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, central and southern Somalia, central South Sudan, Kenya, south-western Uganda, southern areas of Rwanda, Burundi, and western and southern Tanzania.
- Usual temperature conditions …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over south-western and eastern parts of the country.
- Usual temperature conditions expected over southern and northern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected in most parts of the country
- Average conditions expected over south eastern areas of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over much of the region with the highest chances over most of Ethiopia, Djibouti, north-eastern Kenya, and southern Somalia.
- Normal temperature conditions are likely over cross border areas of …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of Kenya and Tanzania, southern Uganda, parts of eastern Burundi, and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Usual conditions are expected over …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over Kenya southern parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Usual conditions are expected over western, southern and coastal Tanzania.