Our seasonal forecasts

Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.

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June - August 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania. 
  • Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western South Sudan. 
  • Cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over isolated areas in northern Somalia, northern Ethiopia, parts of southern Djibouti, a few regions in western and eastern Sudan and cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan-Ethiopia. 
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region. 
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal Somalia and Kenya. 

Seasonal forecasts

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Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions expected over coastal, central, and north-western Kenya, western Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, western Uganda, northern parts of South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, northern Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Sudan.
  • Usual temperature conditions likely …
FMA - 2021 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions likely over central and south-eastern parts of the country.
  • Usual conditions likely over south-western part of the country.
FMA - 2021 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than average conditions likely over much of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda; western, south-western and part of north-eastern Kenya, much of Somalia, Uganda, and south-eastern South Sudan.
  • Usual conditions likely over the southern border of Tanzania, …
FMA - 2021 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)

Rainfall Forecast January - March 2021

Headlines: Drier than usual conditions are expected over Ethiopia, western Kenya, central Uganda, and north-western Tanzania.

  • Drier than usual conditions are expected over central, eastern and south-western Ethiopia; western …
JFM - 2021 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast

Temperature Forecast January - March 2021

  • Warmer than average temperature conditions are expected over much of the northern parts of the region including Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Rwanda and Burundi. 
  • Below average …
JFM - 2021 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Most parts of the region are expected to record warmer than usual temperatures, especially eastern Kenya, northeastern Ethiopia, northern Sudan, western Rwanda, and southwestern Uganda.
  • Average temperatures are expected over southern, central, and western …
JFM - (2020 - 2021) Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions likely over southern and north western parts of the country
  • Average temperature conditions likely over areas in north eastern parts of the country

JFM - (2020 - 2021) Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions likely over much of southern western and northern parts of the country
  • Average conditions likely over central and eastern parts of the country
JFM - (2020 - 2021) Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Drier than usual conditions are expected over much of Kenya (especially northern Wajir and eastern parts of Marsabit counties), north-western Tanzania, southern Uganda, south-western Ethiopia, coastal lines of Djibouti, and Eritrea. Farmers, pastoralists, and all …
JFM - (2020 - 2021) Read More