Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
March - May 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Normal to drier than normal conditions are expected over western and northern Kenya, western and eastern Uganda, south-western to central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, western South Sudan and most parts of Somalia.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over the southern part of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry in DJF.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures expected over southern South Sudan, north-western Uganda, and northern Ethiopia.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Average temperatures expected over the western parts of the country.
- Colder than usual conditions expected over the eastern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, Eritrea, much of Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Kenya, southern Uganda and Tanzania.
- Average temperatures expected over north-western and southern areas of Sudan, western South Sudan, northern …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern areas of the country with pockets of average to below average conditions over south-eastern and western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern South Sudan, and northern and south-western Uganda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over Kenya, southern Ethiopia, Somalia, Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, and southern parts of Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal temperatures expected over Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Sudan, South Sudan, Burundi, central Uganda, and a few areas in western and eastern Tanzania.
- Near normal temperatures expected over southern parts of South Sudan, …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over south eastern parts of the country.
- Average conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over a small area in the southern part of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over a few areas in north-eastern Kenya and south-western Somalia.
- Near normal conditions expected over most of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Uganda, South Sudan, and central Kenya.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over western and northern parts of the country.
- Normal and cooler than normal conditions expected over south central and south eastern parts of the country.