Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature

- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.

- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- The updated forecast for March to May (MAM) 2022 season indicates expanded drier than normal conditions in much of the eastern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa covering Eritrea, much of Ethiopia, western South …

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual temperature conditions expected over areas in north western parts of the country.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over south-western and eastern parts of the country.
- Usual temperature conditions expected over southern and northern areas of the country.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over a few areas in north-western and north-eastern parts of the country.

Rainfall forecast
- Usual to wetter than usual conditions expected over the southern areas of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry during this period.

Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of the region.
- Usual conditions expected over western Uganda, south-western South Sudan, central Ethiopia, and south-eastern Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over a few areas in north-eastern …

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over much of Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, central and southern Somalia, central South Sudan, Kenya, south-western Uganda, southern areas of Rwanda, Burundi, and western and southern Tanzania.
- Usual temperature conditions …

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected in most parts of the country
- Average conditions expected over south eastern areas of the country

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over much of the region with the highest chances over most of Ethiopia, Djibouti, north-eastern Kenya, and southern Somalia.
- Normal temperature conditions are likely over cross border areas of …

Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of Kenya and Tanzania, southern Uganda, parts of eastern Burundi, and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Usual conditions are expected over …

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected all over the country.

Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over Kenya southern parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Usual conditions are expected over western, southern and coastal Tanzania.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over the whole country.

Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the region with highest chances over areas in Kenya, Somalia, Ethiopia, and Sudan.
- Usual temperature conditions are expected over a few areas in north-eastern Somalia and …