Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
December 2025 - February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central Kenya and Ethiopia, northern Eritrea and coastal areas of Sudan.
- Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over parts of Burundi, and western to southern areas of Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over central to southern Kenya, southern Uganda, eastern and western Rwanda, most parts of Burundi, central to northern, and southern Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal temperatures expected over Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Sudan, South Sudan, Burundi, central Uganda, and a few areas in western and eastern Tanzania.
- Near normal temperatures expected over southern parts of South Sudan, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over western and northern parts of the country.
- Normal and cooler than normal conditions expected over south central and south eastern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- The updated forecast for March to May (MAM) 2022 season indicates expanded drier than normal conditions in much of the eastern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa covering Eritrea, much of Ethiopia, western South …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal temperatures are expected over most parts of the region, especially over much of Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia Kenya, Rwanda, and Burundi.
- Normal to below normal temperatures expected over southern …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over a few areas in north-western and north-eastern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of the region.
- Usual conditions expected over western Uganda, south-western South Sudan, central Ethiopia, and south-eastern Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over a few areas in north-eastern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over much of Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, central and southern Somalia, central South Sudan, Kenya, south-western Uganda, southern areas of Rwanda, Burundi, and western and southern Tanzania.
- Usual temperature conditions …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual temperature conditions expected over areas in north western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over south-western and eastern parts of the country.
- Usual temperature conditions expected over southern and northern areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Usual to wetter than usual conditions expected over the southern areas of the country.
- The rest of the country is generally dry during this period.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected in most parts of the country
- Average conditions expected over south eastern areas of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over much of the region with the highest chances over most of Ethiopia, Djibouti, north-eastern Kenya, and southern Somalia.
- Normal temperature conditions are likely over cross border areas of …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of Kenya and Tanzania, southern Uganda, parts of eastern Burundi, and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Usual conditions are expected over …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country