Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
December 2025 - February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central Kenya and Ethiopia, northern Eritrea and coastal areas of Sudan.
- Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over parts of Burundi, and western to southern areas of Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over central to southern Kenya, southern Uganda, eastern and western Rwanda, most parts of Burundi, central to northern, and southern Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the region with highest chances over areas in Kenya, Somalia, Ethiopia, and Sudan.
- Usual temperature conditions are expected over a few areas in north-eastern Somalia and …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over Kenya southern parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Usual conditions are expected over western, southern and coastal Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over eastern, north-eastern and isolated areas in western parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over western and northern parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over south …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the north-eastern parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over the rest of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Kenya, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, northern areas of Somalia, north-eastern and north-western South Sudan, much of Sudan, western Uganda, Rwanda, northern parts of Burundi, and coastal Tanzania. …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over much of western Kenya, eastern Uganda, eastern South Sudan, areas in central and western Ethiopia, north-eastern Somalia, localized areas in Rwanda and Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Usual conditions are …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over central, northern and part of southern areas of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over few areas in the central parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than average conditions likely over much of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda; western, south-western and part of north-eastern Kenya, much of Somalia, Uganda, and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Usual conditions likely over the southern border of Tanzania, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over central and northern parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over the southern part of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over coastal, central, and north-western Kenya, western Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, western Uganda, northern parts of South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, northern Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Sudan.
- Usual temperature conditions likely …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over the northern parts of the country.
- Usual temperature conditions likely over the entire central parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over the southern parts of the …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over few areas in southern and north-eastern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions over north-western and part of north-eastern areas …