Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall Forecast January - March 2021
Headlines: Drier than usual conditions are expected over Ethiopia, western Kenya, central Uganda, and north-western Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over central, eastern and south-western Ethiopia; western …
Temperature forecast
Temperature Forecast January - March 2021
- Warmer than average temperature conditions are expected over much of the northern parts of the region including Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Rwanda and Burundi.
- Below average …
Temperature forecast
- Most parts of the region are expected to record warmer than usual temperatures, especially eastern Kenya, northeastern Ethiopia, northern Sudan, western Rwanda, and southwestern Uganda.
- Average temperatures are expected over southern, central, and western …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over southern and north western parts of the country
- Average temperature conditions likely over areas in north eastern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over much of southern western and northern parts of the country
- Average conditions likely over central and eastern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over much of Kenya (especially northern Wajir and eastern parts of Marsabit counties), north-western Tanzania, southern Uganda, south-western Ethiopia, coastal lines of Djibouti, and Eritrea. Farmers, pastoralists, and all …