Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
April - June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, northern and western Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern Somalia, Uganda, northern and eastern Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions are expected over part of south-eastern Sudan, central to southern South Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, part of central to eastern Uganda, central to western Kenya, and most parts of Somalia.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the region including Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern Eritrea, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, central to southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over northern parts of Somalia, isolated areas in central-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, and southern Eritrea.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over central and northern parts of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions likely over the southern part of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over central and south-eastern parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over south-western part of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over few areas in southern and north-eastern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions over north-western and part of north-eastern areas …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over coastal, central, and north-western Kenya, western Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, western Uganda, northern parts of South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, northern Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Sudan.
- Usual temperature conditions likely …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall Forecast January - March 2021
Headlines: Drier than usual conditions are expected over Ethiopia, western Kenya, central Uganda, and north-western Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over central, eastern and south-western Ethiopia; western …
Temperature forecast
Temperature Forecast January - March 2021
- Warmer than average temperature conditions are expected over much of the northern parts of the region including Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Rwanda and Burundi.
- Below average …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over much of southern western and northern parts of the country
- Average conditions likely over central and eastern parts of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over much of Kenya (especially northern Wajir and eastern parts of Marsabit counties), north-western Tanzania, southern Uganda, south-western Ethiopia, coastal lines of Djibouti, and Eritrea. Farmers, pastoralists, and all …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely over southern and north western parts of the country
- Average temperature conditions likely over areas in north eastern parts of the country
Temperature forecast
- Most parts of the region are expected to record warmer than usual temperatures, especially eastern Kenya, northeastern Ethiopia, northern Sudan, western Rwanda, and southwestern Uganda.
- Average temperatures are expected over southern, central, and western …