Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
May - July 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
- The highest probabilities are indicated over parts of Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Somalia, eastern Kenya and coastal Tanzania.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sectors of the region, specifically in much of Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, Uganda, and western and coastal Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas of southern Somalia, western Ethiopia, western Sudan and central Uganda.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures expected over southern South Sudan, northern and south-western Uganda, and Rwanda.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over few areas.
- Usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Usual conditions are likely over central and northern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are likely over southern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Usual conditions are expected over most parts of Ethiopia, western and southern Kenya, areas in central to northern Somalia, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and much of Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over northern and …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, Ethiopia, South Sudan, eastern and western Tanzania, southern Burundi, eastern Sudan, and Djibouti.
- Usual temperature conditions are likely over central Tanzania, the Karamoja …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the country.
- Usual temperatures are likely to be recorded over northern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over south-eastern and north-western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central and north-western areas of the country.
- Average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over much of central and western parts of the country. …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely to be experienced over part of southern, much of northern, and western parts of the country.
- Average temperature conditions likely to be recorded over a small area in the south, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperature conditions likely to be recorded over Kenya, Somalia, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, northern and north-western South Sudan, western Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and eastern and western Tanzania.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely to be recorded all over the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over north-eastern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions likely over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions likely to be recorded over Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, and much of Ethiopia.
- Average conditions likely to be recorded over much of south-eastern Ethiopia, central and western South Sudan, …
Onset anomalies
- Early onset expected over the eastern parts of the region.
- Delayed onset expected over the western areas of the region.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.