Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
June - August 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western South Sudan.
- Cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over isolated areas in northern Somalia, northern Ethiopia, parts of southern Djibouti, a few regions in western and eastern Sudan and cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan-Ethiopia.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal Somalia and Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over southern parts of Sudan, parts of South Sudan, the western border of Ethiopia, small areas in north-eastern Ethiopia, and the south-western border of Uganda.
- Usual rainfall conditions expected …
Onset dates
Rains are expected to start late (compared to the 1981-2010 average onset) over Tanzania, Burundi, eastern Kenya, southern and central Somalia, and south-eastern Ethiopia. On the other hand, rains are expected to start earlier than …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central, north-eastern and south-western parts of the country.
- Usual rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over the rest of the country; with a …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual rainfall conditions expected over isolated areas in central and north-eastern parts of the country.
- Usual rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over much of central and north-eastern parts of the country.
- Drier …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region with the highest probabilities indicated over the eastern areas.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over south-western parts of Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over north-western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, and north-western Tanzania.
- Normal to wetter than usual conditions expected over north-western Kenya and most parts of Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern and few areas in north-western parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over southern and parts of north-western regions of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region with the highest probabilities indicated over the eastern areas.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over south-western parts of Sudan, western and southern …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the central and southern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region including southern Ethiopia, most parts of Uganda, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to wetter than usual conditions expected over …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern and few areas in north-western parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over southern and parts of north-western regions of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Rwanda, Uganda, western kenya, southern South sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, and northern Somalia.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of South Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and Sudan.