Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern and few areas in north-western parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over southern and parts of north-western regions of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region with the highest probabilities indicated over the eastern areas.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over south-western parts of Sudan, western and southern …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the central and southern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern and few areas in north-western parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over southern and parts of north-western regions of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region including southern Ethiopia, most parts of Uganda, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to wetter than usual conditions expected over …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Rwanda, Uganda, western kenya, southern South sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, and northern Somalia.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of South Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and Sudan.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the eastern and isolated areas in western and north-western parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over parts of western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda, south-eastern South Sudan, north-eastern and south-western Ethiopia, Djibouti, eastern Sudan …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over southeastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over central to northern Ethiopia, most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, and part of western Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over eastern parts of the region, western …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of north-western and southern areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country with pockets of wetter than usual conditions over northern and north-western areas.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.