Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over most parts of the region.
- Wetter-than-normal conditions expected over the eastern Horn, including Somalia, south-eastern and part of western Ethiopia, eastern to coastal Kenya and over few places in South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Rwanda and northern Burundi.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over much of South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda, Ethiopia, western Kenya, northern Tanzania, and Rwanda.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over eastern Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, northern-coastal and part of north-western Tanzania, south-eastern Ethiopia, and north-western South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, part of north-western Tanzania, Rwanda, …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-western parts of the country.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over Sudan, western Eritrea, northern Ethiopia, parts of northern Somalia, central to western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda, south-eastern South Sudan and part of southern Tanzania.
- Warmer than usual conditions …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over some places in the northern regions of the country.
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country except over north-western parts where cooler than normal conditions are expected.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal conditions are expected over parts of the central, north-eastern and south-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of northern and central to southern areas of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over north-western part of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region with the highest probabilities indicated over the eastern areas.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over south-western parts of Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.