February - April 2021

Warmer than usual conditions expected over coastal, central, and north-western Kenya, western Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, western Uganda, northern parts of South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, northern Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Sudan.
Usual temperature conditions likely over eastern Kenya, southern Tanzania, central areas of South Sudan, areas in the southern border of Sudan, few places in central and southern Ethiopia.
Cooler than usual conditions likely over western Kenya, much of Tanzania, Uganda, southern parts of Somalia, southern and south-eastern Ethiopia and southern parts of South Sudan.

Wetter than average conditions likely over much of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda; western, south-western and part of north-eastern Kenya, much of Somalia, Uganda, and south-eastern South Sudan.
Usual conditions likely over the southern border of Tanzania, eastern and coastal Kenya, southern and part of south-eastern Ethiopia.
Drier than usual conditions likely over isolated areas in southern Tanzania, north-western Uganda, much of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, and north-western Somalia.