Ten Day Products
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our ten day products are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
Ten day Products
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected over most parts of central and western Kenya, southwestern South Sudan, coastal regions of central Somalia, and northwestern regions along the Ethiopian rift.
- Moderate to heavy rainfall between 50 …

Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 32 ̊C expected over South Sudan - Sudan border region, extending to eastern Sudan into western Ethiopia & Eritrea.
- Regions in eastern Kenya, southern & central Somalia, central South Sudan, southeastern …

Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Heavy rainfall above 200 mm is expected over central, south western & part of western Kenya, central Somalia, parts of southern, central, and southeastern Ethiopia, and part of western Rwanda.
- Moderate to heavy rainfall between …

Temperature forecast
- High temperatures above 30 ̊C expected over eastern Kenya, southwestern & central Somalia, much of South Sudan & Sudan extending to Ethiopian border, and part of northern Ethiopia.
- Moderate temperature between 20 and 30 ̊C …

Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 30 ̊C expected in coastal Tanzania, eastern and northwestern Kenya, central and southern Somalia, South Sudan, southern regions of Sudan, Eritrea and northeastern Ethiopia.
- Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20 to 30 …

Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Moderate rainfall between 50 to 200 mm expected in central and northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, southern and eastern Kenya, southwestern Somalia, western South Sudan and southwestern Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall less than 30 mm forecasted in …

Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Heavy rainfall (over 200 mm) in south eastern, northern and western Tanzania & western Burundi
Moderate rainfall (50 - 200 mm) in much of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, central Kenya, much of Uganda, north western Somalia …

Recent rainfall anomalies
Much drier than normal conditions in central Ethiopia and
southern Tanzania.
Drier than normal conditions observed in central Ethiopia, northeastern Kenya and southern Tanzania
Near normal conditions observed in areas adjusted to Lake Tanganyika in …

Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected in some regions of southeastern, northern and western Tanzania; and western Burundi.
- Moderate rainfall between 50-200 mm expected in much of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, central Kenya, much of Uganda, …

Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 30̊C expected in much of South Sudan, northwestern and Eastern Kenya, southwestern Somalia, parts of southeast Ethiopia and southern parts of Sudan.
- Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20-30 ̊C expected in much …

Maximum Temperature anomalies
Warmer than normal maximum temperature (daytime hotter than usual) recorded over western Sudan, South Tanzania, eastern and coastal parts of Kenya
Normal day time temperature recorded in northern Sudan, western Ethiopia, central and southern Uganda, …

Bulletin
Forecast (21-31 March 2020)
- Widespread rainfall activity is expected in the Southern and equatorial countries of GHA
- Thermal discomfort is expected in Central and northern parts of South Sudan
Observed rainfall (1-10 March 2020)
- Significantly …