Ten Day Products
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our ten day products are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
Ten day Products
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Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 30 ̊C expected in coastal Tanzania, eastern and northwestern Kenya, central and southern Somalia, South Sudan, southern regions of Sudan, Eritrea and northeastern Ethiopia.
- Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20 to 30 …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Moderate rainfall between 50 to 200 mm expected in central and northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, southern and eastern Kenya, southwestern Somalia, western South Sudan and southwestern Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall less than 30 mm forecasted in …
Bulletin
Forecast (21-31 March 2020)
- Widespread rainfall activity is expected in the Southern and equatorial countries of GHA
- Thermal discomfort is expected in Central and northern parts of South Sudan
Observed rainfall (1-10 March 2020)
- Significantly …
Maximum Temperature anomalies
Warmer than normal maximum temperature (daytime hotter than usual) recorded over western Sudan, South Tanzania, eastern and coastal parts of Kenya
Normal day time temperature recorded in northern Sudan, western Ethiopia, central and southern Uganda, …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected in some regions of southeastern, northern and western Tanzania; and western Burundi.
- Moderate rainfall between 50-200 mm expected in much of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, central Kenya, much of Uganda, …
Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 30̊C expected in much of South Sudan, northwestern and Eastern Kenya, southwestern Somalia, parts of southeast Ethiopia and southern parts of Sudan.
- Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20-30 ̊C expected in much …
Temperature forecast
Temperatures above 30C in much of South Sudan, northwestern and Eastern Kenya, southwestern Somalia, parts of southeast Ethiopia and southern Sudan
Moderate temperatures (20-30C) in much of Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, southern & western Kenya, northern …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Heavy rainfall (over 200 mm) in south eastern, northern and western Tanzania & western Burundi
Moderate rainfall (50 - 200 mm) in much of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, central Kenya, much of Uganda, north western Somalia …
Recent rainfall anomalies
Much drier than normal conditions in central Ethiopia and
southern Tanzania.
Drier than normal conditions observed in central Ethiopia, northeastern Kenya and southern Tanzania
Near normal conditions observed in areas adjusted to Lake Tanganyika in …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Heavy rainfall above 100 mm in most of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda and parts of southwestern Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall between 30-100 mm expected in Uganda, Kenya, southwestern Somalia, southwestern Ethiopia and South Sudan.
- Light rainfall less …
Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 30 ̊C expected in parts of southeastern and northeastern Ethiopia; parts of northwestern and eastern Kenya; southern parts of Sudan, much of South Sudan and southwestern Somalia.
- Moderate daily-mean temperatures in …
Bulletin
This bulletin reviews the climatic conditions observed during the second dekad (10-20) of February 2018, and highlights the climate forecast for the first dekad (01-10) of March 2018 and the associated climate impacts over the …