Ten Day Products
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our ten day products are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
Ten day Products
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Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 30̊C expected in much of South Sudan, northwestern and Eastern Kenya, southwestern Somalia, parts of southeast Ethiopia and southern parts of Sudan.
- Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20-30 ̊C expected in much …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Heavy rainfall (over 200 mm) in south eastern, northern and western Tanzania & western Burundi
Moderate rainfall (50 - 200 mm) in much of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, central Kenya, much of Uganda, north western Somalia …
Recent rainfall anomalies
Much drier than normal conditions in central Ethiopia and
southern Tanzania.
Drier than normal conditions observed in central Ethiopia, northeastern Kenya and southern Tanzania
Near normal conditions observed in areas adjusted to Lake Tanganyika in …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Heavy rainfall above 100 mm in most of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda and parts of southwestern Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall between 30-100 mm expected in Uganda, Kenya, southwestern Somalia, southwestern Ethiopia and South Sudan.
- Light rainfall less …
Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 30 ̊C expected in parts of southeastern and northeastern Ethiopia; parts of northwestern and eastern Kenya; southern parts of Sudan, much of South Sudan and southwestern Somalia.
- Moderate daily-mean temperatures in …
Bulletin
This bulletin reviews the climatic conditions observed during the second dekad (10-20) of February 2018, and highlights the climate forecast for the first dekad (01-10) of March 2018 and the associated climate impacts over the …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected over localized areas in southern Tanzania.
- Moderate to heavy rainfall between 50 to 200 mm expected over central and northern Tanzania, extending into south western Kenya.
- The rest of …
Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 32˚C expected over eastern and northwestern Kenya; Eastern parts of South Sudan, western tip of Ethiopia and Southern Somalia.
- Low daily-mean temperatures below 20˚C expected over central and rift valley parts …
Bulletin
This bulletin reviews the climatic conditions observed during the first dekad (01-10) of February 2018, and highlights the climate forecast for the third dekad (21-28) of February 2018 and the associated climate impacts over the …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Moderate to high rainfall between 50 and 200 mm expected over southern and coastal regions of Kenya; most parts of Tanzania and Burundi.
- Light rainfall up to 20mm expected over some parts of Ethiopia, Eritrea, …
Temperature forecast
- High daily-mean temperatures above 30˚C expected over eastern and northern Kenya; Southern Somalia, coastal regions of Tanzania, Eastern parts of South Sudan and western tip of Ethiopia.
- Low daily-mean temperatures below 20˚C expected over central …
Bulletin
This bulletin reviews the climatic conditions observed during the third dekad (21-31) of January 2018, and highlights the climate forecast for the second dekad (11-20) of February 2018 and the associated climate impacts over the …