01 - 08 July 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over central to western parts of South Sudan, western Ethiopia and a few places in northern Uganda, western Kenya and southern Sudan.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over southern regions of Sudan, western Eritrea, central to eastern Uganda, western regions of Kenya, and along the central to northern highlands of Ethiopia.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over parts of northern and western South Sudan, isolated areas in central South Sudan and western to northern parts of Ethiopia.
Floods update
- Flooding incidences expected over parts of northern South Sudan, and central to north-western parts of Ethiopia.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over a few isolated regions across the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- Elevated temperatures exceeding 32°C expected over Djibouti, central to eastern parts of Sudan, coastal parts of Eritrea, northern coastal regions of Somalia and Eritrea and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, central to southern Tanzania and central to northern parts of Ethiopia.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, central to northern Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia. Elevated heat stress within the ‘Danger’ category expected over parts of the Afar region in Ethiopia extending into parts of central Eritrea.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over parts of southern Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, northern parts of Uganda, western regions of Kenya and western to northern parts of Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over eastern and southern Tanzania, southern Kenya, southern Somalia, central regions of Sudan, and some parts of eastern Ethiopia.
