01 - 08 January 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record on record expected over parts of central Tanzania.  
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over central to southern Tanzania and coastal regions of Kenya.  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over eastern and western regions of Tanzania and parts of Rwanda and Burundi.  
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.  
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Somalia, Eritrea, Djibouti Uganda, Kenya, and Tanzania.  
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, central Ethiopia, northern Somalia, central to western Kenya and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.  
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Cautionary heat stress levels expected over eastern regions of Tanzania and Kenya, southern Somalia, and eastern South Sudan.  
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over parts of Burundi, and central to southern Tanzania. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over coastal regions of Tanzania, Kenya, the Red Sea region, as well as parts of northern Tanzania and western Rwanda.  
  • Dry conditions are expected in the rest of the region.