03 -10 May 2022

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature Anomalies 

  • Warmer than normal temperatures expected in most parts of Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, northern and southern parts of Somalia, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, much of Ethiopia, southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
  • Cooler than normal temperatures expected in north-eastern South Sudan, southern Sudan, and isolated areas in Ethiopia, Uganda and Tanzania.
Temperature forecast

Mean Temperature

  • Hot conditions with temperatures above 32 ℃ expected over parts of Sudan and north-eastern Ethiopia.
  • Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ expected over South Sudan, most parts of Sudan, Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti; western, southern and eastern parts of Ethiopia; Eritrea, and most parts of Tanzania.
  • Relatively cold conditions with temperatures less than 20℃ expected in parts of central to northern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, Burundi, Rwanda, and few areas in central Tanzania.
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional Rainfall

  • Heavy to very heavy (top 10-5%) rainfall expected over cross-border areas of Ethiopia and Somalia, and isolated areas in southern Kenya.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall Anomalies 

  • More than normal rainfall expected over southern Sudan, northern South Sudan, western and southern Ethiopia, central Somalia, Rwanda, few areas in southern Kenya, and northern Tanzania.
  • Less than normal rainfall expected over most parts of Kenya, Uganda, southern South Sudan, south-eastern Tanzania, central Ethiopia, and northern Somalia.
Rainfall forecast

Total Rainfall

  • Heavy rainfall (more than 100 mm) expected over central Somalia, few areas in south-western Ethiopia, and south-western Kenya.
  • Moderate rainfall (50-100 mm) expected over southern areas of Ethiopia, South Sudan, isolated areas in Uganda, and Tanzania.
  • Light rainfall (less than 30 mm) expected over southern Sudan, parts of southern South Sudan, western and central Ethiopia, northern and southern parts of Somalia, and northern and eastern Tanzania.
  • Dry conditions expected over much of Sudan, Eritrea, northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, parts of eastern Kenya and isolated regions in central Tanzania.