04 - 11 February 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over a few parts of central to southern regions of Tanzania.
- The expected very heavy rainfall over a few parts of central to southern regions of Tanzania is likely to lead to isolated flood incidences.
- Communities in high-risk areas are advised to exercise caution during this period.
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over central to south-eastern parts of Tanzania.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over western regions of Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of south-eastern Kenya, and other isolated areas across the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, central to southern Sudan and eastern regions of both Rwanda and Burundi.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over northern Sudan, Ethiopian highlands, northern Somalia, and parts of central to western Kenya.
Heat Stress
- Extreme Cautionary Heat Stress levels expected in South Sudan, southern Sudan and eastern regions of Tanzania and Kenya, and southern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Burundi and central to southern regions of Tanzania.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over northern regions of Tanzania and most parts of Rwanda.
