05 - 12 August 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of eastern South Sudan, northern Uganda, central to northern Ethiopia, and most parts of Eritrea and Djibouti.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of western South Sudan, eastern and parts of western Sudan and south-eastern Uganda into south-western Kenya.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over cross-border regions of South Sudan, Ethiopia and Sudan, and other isolated regions across the GHA.
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile (the highest 10% on record)expected over parts of southern Sudan, eastern South Sudan, northern Uganda, northern and western Ethiopia, and central to western Eritrea.
- There is a likelihood of Flooding incidences over the flood prone areas in north-eastern Ethiopia, central western Sudan and eastern South Sudan.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (> 32℃) expected over parts of northern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, and regions along the Red Sea coast.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Somalia, South Sudan, central to northern Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, southern Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, and parts of eastern and western Tanzania.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over most parts of Rwanda, western Kenya, central and southern Tanzania, and central Ethiopia.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in parts of Afar region in Ethiopia, coastal regions along the Red Sea and most parts of eastern and northern Sudan.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (above 200mm) expected over parts a few regions in southern Sudan, northern Ethiopia, and north-eastern South Sudan.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of South Sudan, central to northern Ethiopia, western Eritrea, southern Sudan, northern Uganda and parts of western Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over Djibouti, central and northern Sudan, northern and southern Somalia, coastal Kenya, and eastern regions of Tanzania.
