07 - 14 July 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over central to western parts of South Sudan, western Ethiopia, northern Uganda, western Kenya and isolated areas in southern Sudan.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over southern regions of Sudan, western Eritrea, eastern Uganda, western regions of Kenya, and along the central to northern highlands of Ethiopia.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over parts eastern Sudan, western to northern parts of Ethiopia, isolated areas in northern Uganda and central South Sudan.
Floods update
- Flooding incidences expected over parts of western to north-western parts of Ethiopia.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over a few isolated regions across the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- Elevated temperatures exceeding 32°C expected over Djibouti, central to eastern parts of Sudan, coastal parts of Eritrea, northern coastal regions of Somalia, and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, central to southern Tanzania and central to northern parts of Ethiopia.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, central to northern Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia. Elevated heat stress within the ‘Danger’ category expected over parts of the Afar region in Ethiopia extending into parts of central Eritrea.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over parts of southern Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, northern parts of Uganda, western regions of Kenya and western to northern parts of Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over eastern and southern Tanzania, southern Kenya, southern Somalia, central regions of Sudan, and some parts of eastern Ethiopia.
