08 - 15 August 2023
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western to northern parts of Ethiopia, western Eritrea, much of southern Sudan, north-western Uganda, south-western and few areas in northern South Sudan.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in southern Sudan, eastern South Sudan, central Ethiopia, and eastern Uganda extending to parts of western Kenya.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected in isolated areas in northern Somalia, central Ethiopia, and central Kenya.
Exceptional rainfall
- Extremely heavy rainfall expected in isolated areas of north-western Ethiopia.
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall expected in much of western and northern Ethiopia, western Eritrea, much of southern Sudan, and central to western South Sudan.
Mean temperatures
- Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, coastal regions of Eritrea, and north-western coastal parts of Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over South Sudan, central to southern Sudan, eastern and northern Kenya, north-western and eastern Tanzania, Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, and much of Uganda.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central Ethiopia, isolated areas in southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, parts of southern, western, central to northern Tanzania, and central to south-western Kenya.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (greater than 200mm) expected over isolated parts in north-western Ethiopia, western South Sudan, southern and south-western Sudan.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over southern Sudan, much of South Sudan, western Eritrea, western and northern Ethiopia, northern Uganda, and isolated areas in western Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central to northern Sudan, eastern South Sudan, parts of central to eastern Ethiopia, parts of coastal Eritrea, southern Somalia, Djibouti, eastern and southern Tanzania, coastal and western Kenya, and central to south-western Uganda.
- Dry conditions expected over central to northern Somalia, southern and eastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, Burundi, Rwanda, and most parts of Tanzania.
