09 - 16 April 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Very Heavy rainfall (reaching top 5% on record) expected in most parts of southern, central and north-eastern Kenya, northern Tanzania and cross border regions of Kenya-South Sudan and Ethiopia.
- Heavy rainfall (reaching top 10% on record) expected over most parts of Kenya, eastern and western parts of Tanzania, and parts of southern Somalia.
Floods Update
- Very heavy rainfall is likely to lead to flooding in the flood prone areas.
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the equatorial and southern regions.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over south-western parts of South Sudan and isolated areas in south-eastern Ethiopia and central Somalia.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, Somalia, Ethiopia, Djibouti, southern and western Kenya, western Uganda and western South Sudan.
- Cooler than usual temperatures forecast over central to northern Sudan, south-eastern South Sudan, north-eastern Kenya and other isolated areas across the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over isolated areas in cross border regions of Sudan, South Sudan and Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of northern to central Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, western regions of both Rwanda and Burundi and a few areas in southern Tanzania.
Heat Stress
- Elevated levels of heat stress expected in southern parts of Somalia and south-eastern Kenya, Afar region in Ethiopia and northern parts of South Sudan.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (more than 200 mm) expected over few areas in southern Tanzania and south-western parts of Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, Kenya, southern Somalia and south-western Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in northern, central to southern Ethiopia, central to eastern South Sudan, north-western Kenya and parts of northern and central Somalia.
- Dry conditions expected over Sudan, Djibouti, and parts of northern western and northern South Sudan, central to northern Somalia and eastern and western Eritrea.
