11 - 18 March 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of eastern Tanzania, central Uganda, south-western parts of Kenya and Ethiopia, and southern South Sudan.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of western Tanzania, central to eastern Rwanda, central to western Burundi and eastern Kenya.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over parts of northern and southern Tanzania.
- There is a likelihood of flooding incidences over the flood prone areas over south-eastern and north-central Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over the highland regions across the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over central to eastern parts of South Sudan.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of the Ethiopian highlands, central to western Kenya and a few parts of western Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress in the Extreme Caution category, bordering Danger, is expected over central to northern regions of South Sudan, eastern areas of Tanzania, eastern Kenya, and south-western parts of Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania, and a few places in south-western Kenya, southern Uganda and south-western Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of southern South Sudan, central to northern Uganda, central to southern Ethiopia, southern Kenya and coastal regions of Somalia.
