11 - 18 June 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over a few areas in southern Sudan, western Ethiopia and western South Sudan.
Floods Update
- The expected heavy rainfall over parts of southern Sudan, western Ethiopia and western South Sudan is likely to lead to flooding in these areas.
- Communities in the areas at risk are advised to exercise caution during this period as indicated above.
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over parts of southern Sudan, western South Sudan, north-western Ethiopia and western Eritrea.
- Less than usual rainfall expected in Uganda, western Kenya, central to eastern South Sudan and parts of southern Ethiopia.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, Djibouti, Eritrea, north-eastern Ethiopia, and parts of north-western Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Somalia, eastern and northern Kenya, central to northern Uganda, and southern and north-western Tanzania.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of central to southern Tanzania, central to western Kenya and central to southern Ethiopia.
Heat Stress
- Highest levels of heat stress expected in eastern of Sudan, parts of Eritrea, Djibouti and north-western Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over parts of central to western South Sudan, western Ethiopia, southern Sudan, and parts of western Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in central Sudan, eastern South Sudan, eastern Uganda, western Kenya, central to southern Somalia and western Eritrea.
