12 - 19 February 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over parts of Burundi and a few regions in north-western Tanzania.  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Tanzania. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.  
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of coastal regions of Somalia, Kenya and Tanzania. 
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over parts of eastern South Sudan. 
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea and parts of southern Sudan, and central to eastern regions of both Rwanda and Burundi. 
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over northern Sudan, Ethiopian highlands, northern Somalia, and parts of central to western Kenya. 
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Elevated heat stress levels expected in regions of central to eastern South Sudan, coastal and southeastern Tanzania, and southern parts of Somalia into eastern Kenya.  
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over Burundi and parts of western Tanzania. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Rwanda and southern parts of Uganda and Kenya.