12 - 19 March 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over much of Rwanda, Burundi, central and northern Tanzania, western Uganda, south-western and central Ethiopia and parts of south-western South Sudan.  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of southern and western Tanzania.  
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.  
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over few areas in western Sudan.  
Heavy rainfall
  • Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile is expected over Burundi, parts of Rwanda and few areas over eastern and northern Tanzania. 
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over parts of eastern South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and north-western Kenya.  
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.   
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of Ethiopian highlands, central to western Kenya, western Rwanda and Burundi.  
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Elevated heat stress levels Elevated heat stress expected in most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, eastern Kenya and Tanzania, and southern Somalia.  
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, south-western Uganda, and in few areas of western Ethiopia.  
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over parts of southern and western Uganda, most parts of South Sudan, southern and western Kenya, a few places in northern Tanzania and parts of central to south-western Ethiopia.