16 - 23 Nov 2021

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast

Temperature

  • Warmer than average temperatures are expected in most parts of the region with anomalies above 2°C expected in western Sudan, northern eastern Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-western Somalia.
  • Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ are expected in most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, north-eastern and south-eastern Ethiopia, eastern and northern Kenya, Uganda, and most parts of Tanzania.
  • Relatively cold conditions with temperatures less than 20℃ are expected in central Ethiopia, parts of central to western Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, and a few regions in south-western Uganda.

Heavy rainfall

Headline: Heavy rainfall expected in parts of Rwanda and central Kenya. Temperatures are expected to be warmer than usual.

Rainfall

  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10-5% on record) is forecast over southern and western provinces in Rwanda and a few areas in central Kenya.
  • Moderate rainfall between 50 - 100 mm northern Tanzania, central and western Kenya, parts of southern and eastern Uganda and a few areas in coastal Somalia, south-western Ethiopia and southern South Sudan.
  • Light rainfall of less than 30 mm is forecast in much of South Sudan, southern Ethiopia, coastal Somalia, eastern and northern Kenya, and coastal Tanzania.
  • Dry conditions are expected in Sudan, northern South Sudan, Djibouti, parts of northern Somalia and southern Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)

Headline: Heavy rainfall expected in parts of Rwanda and central Kenya. Temperatures are expected to be warmer than usual.

Rainfall

  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10-5% on record) is forecast over southern and western provinces in Rwanda and a few areas in central Kenya.
  • Moderate rainfall between 50 - 100 mm northern Tanzania, central and western Kenya, parts of southern and eastern Uganda and a few areas in coastal Somalia, south-western Ethiopia and southern South Sudan.
  • Light rainfall of less than 30 mm is forecast in much of South Sudan, southern Ethiopia, coastal Somalia, eastern and northern Kenya, and coastal Tanzania.
  • Dry conditions are expected in Sudan, northern South Sudan, Djibouti, parts of northern Somalia and southern Tanzania.