16 - 23 Nov 2021
Rainfall
Temperature

Temperature
- Warmer than average temperatures are expected in most parts of the region with anomalies above 2°C expected in western Sudan, northern eastern Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-western Somalia.
- Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ are expected in most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, north-eastern and south-eastern Ethiopia, eastern and northern Kenya, Uganda, and most parts of Tanzania.
- Relatively cold conditions with temperatures less than 20℃ are expected in central Ethiopia, parts of central to western Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, and a few regions in south-western Uganda.

Headline: Heavy rainfall expected in parts of Rwanda and central Kenya. Temperatures are expected to be warmer than usual.
Rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10-5% on record) is forecast over southern and western provinces in Rwanda and a few areas in central Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall between 50 - 100 mm northern Tanzania, central and western Kenya, parts of southern and eastern Uganda and a few areas in coastal Somalia, south-western Ethiopia and southern South Sudan.
- Light rainfall of less than 30 mm is forecast in much of South Sudan, southern Ethiopia, coastal Somalia, eastern and northern Kenya, and coastal Tanzania.
- Dry conditions are expected in Sudan, northern South Sudan, Djibouti, parts of northern Somalia and southern Tanzania.

Headline: Heavy rainfall expected in parts of Rwanda and central Kenya. Temperatures are expected to be warmer than usual.
Rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10-5% on record) is forecast over southern and western provinces in Rwanda and a few areas in central Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall between 50 - 100 mm northern Tanzania, central and western Kenya, parts of southern and eastern Uganda and a few areas in coastal Somalia, south-western Ethiopia and southern South Sudan.
- Light rainfall of less than 30 mm is forecast in much of South Sudan, southern Ethiopia, coastal Somalia, eastern and northern Kenya, and coastal Tanzania.
- Dry conditions are expected in Sudan, northern South Sudan, Djibouti, parts of northern Somalia and southern Tanzania.