18 - 25 Jan 2022

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast

Mean Temperature

  • Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ are expected in southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Uganda; eastern and northern Kenya, much of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Eritrea; south-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, and most places over Tanzania.  
  • Relatively cold conditions with temperatures less than 20℃ are expected in much of Sudan, parts of central Ethiopia, western Eritrea, parts of northern Somalia, Rwanda and Burundi; central to western Kenya, and a few areas in Tanzania and south-western Uganda. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature Anomalies

  • Warmer than average temperatures are expected in most areas of Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Somalia.  
  • Colder than average temperatures are expected in Sudan, South Sudan, northern Uganda; western and southern Tanzania, and isolated places in Kenya and southern Ethiopia. 
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional Rainfall 

  • Heavy to Very Rainfall (top 10-5%) is expected in several places of Tanzania; especially in Mtwara, Lindi, and northern Kigoma; and northern Turkana in north-western Kenya.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall Anomalies 

  • Enhanced rainfall is expected in much of Tanzania, eastern Rwanda and Burundi, western regions of Kenya, south-western Ethiopia, and northern Uganda.
  • Depressed rainfall is expected in a few regions over south-western Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)

Total Rainfall 

  • Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected in most parts of Tanzania with a few areas in Lindi, Mtwara, and northern Kigoma are expected to receive above 200mm rainfall.    
  • Light rainfall of less than 30 mm is expected in western South Sudan, most parts of Uganda; western and southern Kenya; south-western to parts of northern Ethiopia, and coastal regions of Eritrea.  
  • Dry conditions are expected in Sudan, northern South Sudan, western Eritrea, north-western and eastern Ethiopia, much of Somalia, and eastern Kenya.