18 - 25 September 2024

Rainfall

Temperature

Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over northern Somalia and adjacent areas in Ethiopia. 
Floods update

Floods Update

  • The expected very heavy rainfall over few places in parts of northern Somalia and adjacent areas in Ethiopia is likely to lead to floods.
  • Communities in the areas at risk are advised to exercise caution during this period.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over northern Somalia, few areas in western Ethiopia, southern Sudan, south-western Kenya, and north-eastern Tanzania.  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over most parts of South Sudan, Ethiopia, Uganda, and central Somalia.  
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA. 
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over northern Somalia and other isolated areas across the GHA. 
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over parts of Sudan and north-eastern Ethiopia. 
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over South Sudan, Uganda, Somalia, northern and eastern Kenya, north-eastern and south-eastern Ethiopia, most parts of Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, most parts of Tanzania, Rwanda and Burundi. 
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of northern to southern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, central Tanzania and parts of western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.  
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Elevated levels of heat stress expected in most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, northern Somalia and north-eastern Ethiopia.   
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over parts of northern Somalia, central to western Ethiopia, southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, few areas in central and western Kenya, south-western Uganda, and northern coastal Tanzania. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in north-western, central and southern Somalia, southern and eastern Kenya, most parts of Ethiopia, South Sudan, central and eastern Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, eastern and northern Tanzania.