19 - 26 March 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (reaching 95th percentile) expected in parts of southern Kenya, northern Tanzania and most parts of Rwanda.
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Rwanda, Burundi, northern Tanzania and southern Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected in central and southern Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the region with exception of northern Sudan.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over most parts South Sudan, and a few regions in western Ethiopia and north-western Kenya.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Uganda, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia and central to southern Sudan.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of northern Sudan, central Ethiopia, central Kenya, and western regions of both Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Elevated levels of heat stress expected in most parts of South Sudan, north-western and eastern Kenya, eastern Tanzania and southern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over southern parts of Uganda, a few regions in southern Kenya. and most parts of Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- ight rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, central to western Ethiopia, and parts of southern Kenya.
- Dry conditions expected over Sudan, eastern Ethiopia, northern Kenya, and most parts of Somalia and Djibouti.
