20-27 October 2020
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warm daily-mean temperatures above 28oC are expected over Turkana, Wajir, southern and eastern Sudan, and north-eastern Afar in Ethiopia.
- Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20-24oC are expected over north-western Sudan, much of Uganda, and over the western half of Tanzania.
- Low daily-mean temperatures cooler than 20oC are expected across much of the highlands of Ethiopia, west and central Kenya, Rwanda, and Burundi.
- Exceptionally heavy rainfall (top 1% on record) is expected in the north-eastern coast of Somalia.
- Very heavy rainfall (top 5% on record) is expected over north-eastern parts of Somalia, north-western and southern Kenya, and parts of Burundi and Rwanda.
- Heavy rainfall (top 10% on record) is expected over cross border areas of Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia; parts of western Kenya, central Uganda, and north-western Tanzania.
- Heavy rainfall above 200 mm is expected in the eastern coast of Somalia and localized areas in western Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall between 50-200 mm is expected in parts of western and south-western Ethiopia, southern South Sudan, northern and central Somalia, western Kenya, most parts of Uganda, Burundi, Rwanda, and northern Tanzania.
- Light rainfall less than 50 mm is expected in northern parts of South Sudan, north-western and southern Ethiopia, southern Somalia, central and eastern Kenya, and central and southern Tanzania.
- Dry conditions are expected in much of Sudan, Eritrea, central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and north-western Somalia.
