20 - 27 January 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over parts of central to southern Tanzania.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over most parts of central to eastern Tanzania, Burundi and Rwanda.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in central and southern Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over eastern Kenya and coastal Somalia.
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the region.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, South Sudan and central to southern regions of Sudan.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to northern regions of Sudan, central and northern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, central to western Kenya.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in parts of eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya and most parts of South Sudan.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over parts of central to western Tanzania and central to western Burundi.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Rwanda, northern Burundi, isolated areas in southern Kenya, coastal areas of Somalia, parts of coastal eastern Sudan, coastal eastern Eritrea and northern and central Tanzania.
