21 - 28 May 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (exceeding the top 10% on record) expected in parts of southern and western South Sudan and western Ethiopia.
Floods Update
- Heavy Rainfall is likely to lead to flooding in the flood-prone areas.
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, northern Uganda, south-eastern Sudan and parts of central to western Kenya.
- Less than usual rainfall expected in Somalia, southeastern Ethiopia, coastal Tanzania and northern and eastern Kenya.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures forecast over a few regions in north-eastern South Sudan, a few regions in western Ethiopia and other isolated regions over the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over most parts of Sudan, Djibouti, north-eastern Ethiopia, and parts of Eritrea and north-western Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Somalia, Kenya and Tanzania.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of central to southern Tanzania, central to western Kenya and central to southern Ethiopia.
Heat Stress
- Elevated levels of heat stress expected in most parts of Sudan, northern South Sudan, Eritrea, Afar region in Ethiopia and central to northern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (more than 200 mm) expected over a few regions in south-western Ethiopia and western South Sudan.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of South Sudan, western Ethiopia, most parts of Uganda and western Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in southern Sudan, coastal regions of Somalia, Rwanda, northern Tanzania and western Kenya.
- Dry conditions expected over central to northern Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, eastern Ethiopia, eastern and northern Kenya, western and coastal Tanzania, eastern Burundi and central to northern parts of Somalia.
