22 Feb - 01 Mar 2022
Rainfall
Temperature
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than normal temperatures expected in the majority of regions in Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Kenya, eastern Sudan, and South Sudan.
- Colder than normal temperatures expected over central to northern Sudan, parts of western Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, most parts of Tanzania, and other isolated areas in the region.
Mean temperature
- Moderate temperatures (between 20 - 32 ℃) expected in southern Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, Djibouti, most parts of Eritrea, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Relatively cold conditions (less than 20℃) expected in northern Sudan, parts of central Ethiopia, western Kenya, Burundi, and western Rwanda.
Rainfall anomalies
- More than normal rainfall expected over eastern and northern Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, south-western Kenya, Uganda, south-eastern South Sudan, and central to south-western Ethiopia.
- Less than normal rainfall expected over parts of south-western Tanzania.
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10-5%) expected over parts of Tanzania, especially the northern (Arusha, Manyara, and Dodoma) and southern (Mtwara and Lindi) regions, and south-western Kenya (Narok and Kajiado).
Total Rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-100mm) expected in most parts of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, and few places over south-western Kenya and central Ethiopia. A few regions in southern Tanzania are expected to receive over 200mm.
- Light rainfall (less than 30 mm) expected in southern South Sudan, Uganda, coastal and north-western Kenya, northern Somalia, and parts of coastal regions of Eritrea and Sudan.
- Dry conditions expected in Sudan, central to northern South Sudan, northern and south-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, central Somalia, and north-eastern Kenya.
