23-30 December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected most parts of Rwanda and Burundi, and a few places in southern Tanzania.
- Less than usual rainfall expected most over parts of Tanzania and coastal regions of Kenya.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in southern Tanzania.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over western regions of Rwanda and Burundi, central to western Kenya, parts of northern Somalia, north-western Sudan and most parts of central to northern Ethiopia.
Heat Stress
- Dangerous heat stress expected in parts of eastern Tanzania and with elevated levels in most parts of South Sudan, eastern Kenya, and southern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over central to southern Tanzania, Rwanda, and Burundi.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over northern Tanzania, south-western parts of Uganda, south-western Kenya, south-western Ethiopia, southern South Sudan and coastal areas of northern Somalia.