23 - 30 Mar 2022

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature Anomalies 

  • Warmer than normal temperatures expected in most parts of Ethiopia, eastern Sudan, north-eastern South Sudan, Djibouti, and Kenya.
  • Cooler than normal temperatures expected in most parts of Sudan, south-western South Sudan and a few areas in Uganda, and western and southern Tanzania.
Temperature forecast

Mean Temperature

  • Hot conditions (above 32 ℃) expected in border regions of eastern South Sudan to western Ethiopia, and north-western Kenya.
  • Moderate temperatures (between 20 - 32 ℃) expected over central to southern Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, much of Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, most parts of Ethiopia, Eritrea, eastern Rwanda, and Tanzania.
  • Relatively cold conditions with temperatures (less than 20℃) expected in northern Sudan, parts of central to northern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, a few areas in northern Somalia, western Eritrea, southern Tanzania, Burundi, and western Rwanda.
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional Rainfall

  • Heavy to Very Heavy (top 10 - 5%) rainfall expected over north- eastern Tanzania into south-western Kenya, and parts of eastern Rwanda and Burundi.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall Anomalies 

  • More than normal rainfall expected over southern South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, south-western Kenya, Uganda, parts of northern Tanzania, eastern Burundi, and Rwanda.
  • Less than normal rainfall expected over central to southern Tanzania, and south-eastern Kenya.
Rainfall forecast

Total Rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50 - 200 mm) expected over western Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, northern Tanzania, and a few areas in south-western Kenya.
  • Light rainfall (less than 30 mm) is expected over southern South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, north- western Kenya, and parts of south-western Tanzania.
  • Dry conditions expected in Somalia, eastern Kenya, Djibouti, and south-eastern and north-western Ethiopia.