23 - 30 October 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over parts of northern Somalia, south-eastern and western Ethiopia, and isolated areas in southern and northern Uganda.
Flood 23 - 30 October 2024
- The expected very heavy rainfall over a few places in parts of northern Somalia, south-eastern and western Ethiopia, and isolated areas in southern and northern Uganda is likely to lead to isolated flood incidences.
- Communities in high-risk areas are advised to exercise caution during this period.
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over parts of southern Sudan, western to south-eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, central to northern Uganda, and northern Rwanda.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over central to eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, most parts of Tanzania, Burundi and south-eastern parts of South Sudan.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over northern parts of Sudan.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, eastern Burundi, eastern Rwanda, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and eastern and southern Ethiopia.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of northern to southern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, western Rwanda, and southern parts of Tanzania.
Heat Stress
- Heat exhaustion is likely to be experienced over parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Afar region in Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (greater than 200mm) expected over isolated areas in central and western Ethiopia.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, part of western Kenya, western and northern South Sudan, western to south-eastern Ethiopia and northern Somalia
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over parts of southern Sudan, parts of central to northern Ethiopia, central to southern Eritrea, most parts of Somalia, north-western Tanzania, coastal Kenya and south-eastern parts of South Sudan.
