23 - 30 August 2023
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern Sudan, western and northern Ethiopia, Eritrea, and parts of southern Somalia.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over Uganda, South Sudan, central Ethiopia and western Kenya.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall expected in much of southern Sudan and cross-border regions of Ethiopia and Eritrea.
Mean temperatures
- Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over northern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, parts of Eritrea, Djibouti, and north-western coastal regions of Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over central to southern Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia, south-western Ethiopia, western Rwanda, western Burundi, and western and southern Tanzania.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to southern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, a few regions in northern to southern Tanzania, and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (greater than 200mm) expected over parts of western and northern Ethiopia and isolated parts of southern Sudan.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over southern Sudan, central and western South Sudan, western Ethiopia, western Eritrea and a few places in central Uganda.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in central Sudan, eastern South Sudan, central Ethiopia, parts of western Eritrea, most parts of Uganda, parts of central to western Kenya, and coastal regions of Tanzania, Kenya, and Somalia.
- Dry conditions expected over Rwanda, Burundi, western and southern Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya, eastern South Sudan, and northern Sudan.
