24 - 31 December 2024

Rainfall

Temperature

Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected in a few areas of Burundi, Rwanda, and north-western Tanzania. 
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Rwanda, Burundi, central to northern Tanzania and central to western Kenya. 
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of central to southern Tanzania. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA. 
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of eastern Kenya, coastal Somalia, and other isolated areas across the GHA. 
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern Sudan and southern and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia.  
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of northern Sudan, central Ethiopia, western Kenya and northern Somalia.   
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Elevated heat stress levels expected over eastern Tanzania, coastal regions of Kenya, southern Somalia and eastern regions of South Sudan.   
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Rwanda, Burundi and central to western Tanzania. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over southern parts of Kenya and Uganda, eastern Tanzania and parts of the Red Sea coast.