24 - 31 October 2023
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Somalia, central and southern Ethiopia, South Sudan, central to northern Uganda, and parts of southern Sudan, western Kenya and central Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over eastern and southern Kenya, and northern and southern Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall expected in parts of southern Ethiopia, central Uganda, and most parts of Somalia.
Mean temperatures
- Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over isolated areas in Afar region of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Somalia, Tanzania, Eritrea, eastern and northern Kenya, and eastern and southern Ethiopia.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of central to southern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, eastern Rwanda and Burundi, and isolated regions in south-eastern Uganda and central to southern Tanzania.
Heat Stress
- Heat exhaustion expected over parts of Sudan, Eritrea, South Sudan, southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and southern parts of Tanzania. It is advisable for individuals to maintain proper hydration during this period.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (more than 200mm) expected in parts of central to southern Ethiopia and north-western coastal Somalia.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over much of Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, South Sudan, Somalia, and parts of eastern centrla and western Ethipia, and eastern Djibouti.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) is expected in southern and north-eastern Sudan, western Eritrea, northern Ethiopia, and most parts of Kenya and Tanzania.
- Dry conditions expected over central to northern Sudan, parts of southern Eritrea to northern Ethiopia, northern and eastern Kenya, as well as southern and central Tanzania.
