27 February - 06 March 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Less than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Tanzania and eastern Burundi.
  • More than usual rainfall expected over western parts of Burundi and parts of Rwanda.  
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA. 
  • Cooler-than-usual temperatures are expected over parts of the coastal regions of Somalia and Kenya, as well as the highlands of Tanzania.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over parts of eastern South Sudan. 
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.  
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of northern Sudan, Ethiopian highlands, western Rwanda, and central to western Kenya. 
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Elevated heat stress levels expected in most parts of South Sudan, eastern parts of Tanzania, parts of southern Sudan, eastern Kenya and southern Somalia. 
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over Burundi, most parts of Rwanda and western and southern parts of Tanzania 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over parts of eastern and central Tanzania, southern Uganda, a few regions in coastal and western Kenya, and parts of the Red Sea coast.