29 January - 05 February 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over a few areas in central and southern Tanzania.
- The expected very heavy rainfall over a few areas in central Tanzania is likely to lead to isolated flood incidences.
- Communities in high-risk areas are advised to exercise caution during this period.
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected in parts of south-western Kenya and central to eastern Tanzania.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over central to western regions of Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over coastal parts of Kenya and Somalia, and parts of south-western Sudan.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern and north-eastern Ethiopia and southern Sudan.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, central Ethiopia, and parts of northern Somalia, central to western Kenya and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Extreme Exhaustion is forecast over parts of eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya and eastern South Sudan.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Burundi, Tanzania and some parts of south-western Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over western parts of Rwanda, northern Burundi, south-western to western Kenya, northern Tanzania, and regions along the Red Sea coast.
