30 August - 06 September 2023
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern Sudan, western Eritrea, northern and western Ethiopia, and a few regions in eastern and north-western South Sudan.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over south-western and north-eastern South Sudan, central Ethiopia, western Uganda, and parts of western Kenya.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall expected in most parts of the Darfur regions in Sudan, western Eritrea, and Ethiopia.
Mean temperatures
- Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over northern Sudan, Afar region of Ethiopia, parts of Eritrea, Djibouti, and coastal regions of north-western Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over central to southern Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia, south-western Ethiopia, and western and southern Tanzania.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to southern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, a few regions in northern to southern Tanzania, and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (greater than 200mm) expected over a few places in western Ethiopia.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over southern Sudan, central and western South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and a few places in central Uganda.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in central Sudan, most parts of Uganda, parts of central to western Kenya, and coastal regions of Tanzania, Kenya, and Somalia.
- Dry conditions are expected over Rwanda, Burundi, western and southern Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya, south-eastern Ethiopia into northern Somalia, and northern parts of Sudan.
